%% FDI War

@incollection{Igbokwe10,
	Address = {London, UK},
	Author = {Igbokwe, Virtus C. and Obijiofor Aginam},
	Booktitle = {Foreign Direct Investment in Post Conflict Countries: Opportunities and Challenges},
	Editor = {Igbokwe, Virtus C. and Nicholas Turner and Obijiofor Aginam},
	Pages = {1-10},
	Publisher = {Adonis \& Abbey Publishers Ltd},
	Title = {Introduction: Foreign Direct Investment in Post-Conflict Countries},
	Year = {2010}}
	
	
@incollection{Blonigen05,
	Address = {Washington, DC},
	Author = {Blonigen, Bruce A. and Miao Wang},
	Booktitle = {Does Foreign Direct Investment Promote Development?},
	Editor = {Moran, Theodore H., Edward M. Graham and Magnus Blomstrom},
	Pages = {221-44},
	Publisher = {Institute for International Economics},
	Title = {Inappropriate Pooling of Wealthy and Poor Countries in Empirical FDI Studies},
	Year = {2005}}	
	
	


	
 @book{USAID09,
	Title = {A Guide to Economic Growth in Post-conflict Countries},
	Author = {USAID},
  year={2009},
  publisher={U.S. Agency for International Development}, 
address = {Office of Economic Growth Bureau for Economic Growth, Agriculture and Trade U.S. Agency for International Development}
}


@article{Johnson97,
	Author = {Johnson, Omotunde E. G.},
	Title = {Policy Reform, Adjustment Costs, and Investment- with Activity of Local Investors As a Signal},
  Journal={IMF Working Paper}, 
	Volume = {148},
	Year = {1997}}


@book{Castillo13,
	Author = {Castillo, Graciana del.},
	Title = {Building Peace and Stability Through Economic Reconstruction},
  publisher={United Nations Institute for Disarmament Research (UNIDIR)}, 
address = {Geneva, Switzerland},
	Year = {2013}}




@article{Rogoff11,
	Author = {Reinhart, Carmen M. and Kenneth S. Rogoff},
	Title = {From Financial Crash to Debt Crisis},
	Journal = {American Economic Review},
	Volume = {101},
	Number = {5},
	Pages = {1676-1706},
	Year = {2011}}
	
@article{DriscollKraay98,
	Author = {Driscoll, John C. and Aart C. Kraay},
	Title = {Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation with Spatially Dependent Panel Data},
	Journal = {Review of Economics and Statistics},
	Volume = {80},
	Number = {4},
	Pages = {549-560},
	Year = {1998}}


	
@article{Li09,
	Author = {Li, Quan},
	Title = {Democracy, Autocracy, and Expropriation of Foreign Direct Investment},
	Journal = {Comparative Political Studies},
	Volume = {42},
	Number = {8},
	Pages = {1098-1127},
	Year = {2009}}

@article{CargillHutchinson91,
	Author = {Cargill, Thomas F and Michael M Hutchinson},
	Title = {Political Business Cycles with Endogenous Election Timing},
	Journal = {Review of Economics and Statistics},
	Volume = {73},
	Number = {4},
	Pages = {733-739},
	Year = {1991}}

@article{Ito90,
	Author = {Ito, Takatoshi},
	Title = {The  Timing  of  Elections  and  Political  Business  Cycles  in  Japan},
	Journal = {Journal of Asian Economics},
	Volume = {1},
	Number = {1},
	Pages = {135-156},
	Year = {1991}}

@article{Chowdhury93,
	Author = {Chowdhury, Adbur R.},
	Title = {Political Surfing over Economic Waves: Parliamentary Election Timing in India},
	Journal = {American Journal of Political Science},
	Volume = {37},
	Number = {4},
	Pages = {1199-1118},
	Year = {1993}}

@article{Kayser06,
	Author = {Kayser, Mark Andreas},
	Title = {Trade  and  the  Timing  of  Elections},
	Journal = {British Journal of Political Science},
	Volume = {36},
	Number = {3},
	Pages = {437-457},
	Year = {2006}}
			
@article{PalmerWhitten00,
	Author = {Palmer, Harvey D and Guy D Whitten},
	Title = {Government Competence, Economic Performance and Endogenous Election Dates},
	Journal = {Electoral Studies},
	Volume = {19},
	Number = {2-3},
	Pages = {413-426},
	Year = {2000}}

@article{CanesPark12,
	Author = {Canes-Wrone, Brandice and Jee-Kwang Park},
	Title = {Electoral Business Cycles in OECD Countries},
	Journal = {American Political Science Review},
	Volume = {106},
	Number = {1},
	Pages = {103-122},
	Year = {2012}}
	
@article{CanesPark14,
	Author = {Canes-Wrone, Brandice and Jee-Kwang Park},
	Title = {Elections, Uncertainty and Irreversible Investment},
	Journal = {British Journal of Political Science},
	Volume = {44},
	Number = {1},
	Pages = {83-106},
	Year = {2014}}
	
@article{JulioYook12,
	Author = {Julio, Brandon and Youngsuk Yook},
	Title = {Political Uncertainty and Corporate Investment Cycles},
	Journal = {Journal of Finance},
	Volume = {67},
	Number = {1},
	Pages = {45-83},
	Year = {2012}}
		
	
	
		
@article{Alexander02,
	Author = {Alexander, Gerard},
	Title = {Institutionalized Uncertainty, the Rule of Law, and the Sources of Democratic Stability},
	Journal = {Comparative Political Studies},
	Volume = {35},
	Number = {10},
	Pages = {1145-1170},
	Year = {2002}}

@article{Caballero91,
	Author = {Caballero, Ricardo J.},
	Title = {On the Sign of the Investment-Uncertainty Relationship},
	Journal = {American Economic Review},
	Volume = {81},
	Number = {1},
	Pages = {279-288},
	Year = {1991}}


@article{RivoliSalorio96,
	Author = {Rivoli, Pietra and Eugene Salorio},
	Title = {Foreign Direct Investment and Investment under Uncertainty},
	Journal = {Journal of International Business Studies},
	Volume = {27},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {335-357},
	Year = {1996}}

	
	
@article{BertolaCaballero94,
	Author = {Bertola, Guiseppe and Ricardo J. Caballero},
	Title = {Irreversibility and Aggregate Investment},
	Journal = {Review of Economic Studies},
	Volume = {61},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {223-246},
	Year = {1994}}
		
		

@article{Dixit92,
	Author = {Dixit, Avinash},
	Title = {Investment and Hysteresis},
	Journal = {Journal of Economic Perspectives},
	Volume = {6},
	Number = {},
	Pages = {107-132},
	Year = {1992}}



@article{Allison90,
	Author = {Allison, Paul D.},
	Title = {Change Scores as Dependent Variables in Regression Analysis},
	Journal = {Sociological Methodology},
	Volume = {20},
	Number = {},
	Pages = {93-114},
	Year = {1990}}
	
	
@article{DriscollKraay98,
	Author = {Driscoll, John C. and Aart C. Kraay},
	Title = {Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation with Spatially Dependent Panel Data},
	Journal = {Review of Economics and Statistics},
	Volume = {80},
	Number = {4},
	Pages = {549-560},
	Year = {1998}}
	
	
@article{Hoechle07,
	Author = {Hoechle, Daniel},
	Title = {Robust Standard Errors for Panel Regressions with Cross-Sectional Dependence},
	Journal = {The Stata Journal},
	Volume = {3},
	Number = {7},
	Pages = {281-312},
	Year = {2007}}
	
		
@article{LiVashchilko10,
	Author = {Li, Quan and Tatiana Vashchilko},
	Title = {Dyadic Military Conflict, Security Alliances, and Bilateral FDI Flows},
	Journal = {Journal of International Business Studies},
	Volume = {41},
	Number = {},
	Pages = {765-782},
	Year = {2010}}


		
@article{Kreutz10,
	Author = {Kreutz, Joakim},
	Title = {How and When Armed Conflicts End: Introducing the UCDP Conflict Termination Dataset},
	Journal = {Journal of Peace Research},
	Volume = {47},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {243-250},
	Year = {2010}}


@unpublished{Kreutz10c,
	Author = {Kreutz, Joakim},
	Title = {UCDP Conflict Termination Dataset Codebook, Version 2010-1 – November 2010},
	Note = {Department of Peace and Conflict Research, Uppsala University},
	Year = {2010}}
	


	
@article{Bussmann10,
	Author = {Bussman, Margit},
	Title = {Foreign Direct Investment and Militarized International Conflict},
	Journal = {Journal of Peace Research},
	Volume = {47},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {143-153},
	Year = {2010}}
		

	
@unpublished{BlombergMody05,
	Author = {Blomberg, S. Brock and Ashoka Mody},
	Note = {mimeo, Department of Economics, Claremont McKenna College, Claremont, CA},
	Title = {How Severely Does Violence Deter International Investment?},
	Year = {2005}}
	



@article{MurdochSandler02,
	Author = {Murdoch, James C. and Todd Sandler},
	Title = {Economic Growth, Civil Wars, and Spatial Spillovers},
	Journal = {Journal of Conflict Resolution},
	Volume = {46},
	Number = {1},
	Pages = {91-110},
	Year = {2002}}

@article{MurdochSandler04,
	Author = {Murdoch, James C. and Todd Sandler},
	Title = {Civil Wars and Economic Growth: Spatial Dispersion},
	Journal = {American Journal of Political Science},
	Volume = {48},
	Number = {1},
	Pages = {138-51},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{Collier99,
	Author = {Collier, Paul},
	Title = {On the Economic Consequences of Civil War},
	Journal = {Oxford Economics Papers},
	Volume = {51},
	Number = {},
	Pages = {168-83},
	Year = {1999}}
	
@article{GlobermanShapiro03,
	Author = {Globerman, Steven and Daniel Shapiro},
	Title = {Governance Infrastructure and US Foreign Direct Investment},
	Journal = {Journal of International Business Studies},
	Volume = {34},
	Number = {1},
	Pages = {19-39},
	Year = {2003}}

@article{McDonaldSiegel86,
	Author = {McDonald, Robert and Daniel Siegel},
	Title = {The Value of Waiting to Invest},
	Journal = {Quarterly Journal of Economics},
	Volume = {101},
	Number = {4},
	Pages = {707-728},
	Year = {1986}}
			
				
@article{Driffield13,
	Author = {Driffield, Nigel and Chris Jones and Jo Crotty},
	Title = {International Business Research and Risky Investments: An Analysis of FDI in Conflict Zones},
	Journal = {International Business Review},
	Volume = {22},
	Number = {1},
	Pages = {140-155},
	Year = {2013}}

@article{SulimanMollick09,
	Author = {Suliman, Adil H. and Andr$\acute{\text{e}}$ Varella Mollick},
	Title = {Human Capital Development, War and Foreign Direct Investment in Sub-Saharan Africa},
	Journal = {Oxford Development Studies},
	Volume = {37},
	Number = {1},
	Pages = {47-61},
	Year = {2009}}
	
@article{Bussehefeker07,
	Author = {Busse, Matthias and Carsten Hefeker},
	Title = {Political Risk, Institution and Foreign Direct Investment},
	Journal = {European Journal of Political Economy},
	Volume = {23},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {397-412},
	Year = {2007}}	
	
@article{Oneal94,
	Author = {Oneal, John R.},
	Title = {The Affinity of Foreign Investors for Authoritarian Regimes},
	Journal = {Political ResearchQuarterly},
	Volume = {47},
	Number = {3},
	Pages = {565-588},
	Year = {1994}}		

@article{Henisz_etal10,
	Author = {Henisz, Witold J. and Edward D. Mansfield and Mary Ann Von Gilnow},
	Title = {Conflict, Security, and Political Risk: International Business in Challenging Times},
	Journal = {Journal of International Business Studies},
	Volume = {41},
	Number = {5},
	Pages = {759-764},
	Year = {2010}}	


@article{Henisz02,
	Author = {Henisz, Witold J.},
	Title = {The Institutional Environment for Infrastructure Investment},
	Journal = {Industrial and Corporate Change},
	Volume = {11},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {355-389},
	Year = {2002}}		
	

@article{Clague99,
	Author = {Clague,  Christopher,  Philip  Keefer,  Stephen  Knack  and  Mancur Olson},
	Title = {Contract-intensive Money: Contract Enforcement, Property Rights, and Economic Performance},
	Journal = {Journal of Economic Growth},
	Volume = {4},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {185-211},
	Year = {1999}}	

@article{Clague99,
	Author = {Clague,  Christopher,  Philip  Keefer,  Stephen  Knack  and  Mancur Olson},
	Title = {Contract-intensive Money: Contract Enforcement, Property Rights, and Economic Performance},
	Journal = {Journal of Economic Growth},
	Volume = {4},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {185-211},
	Year = {1999}}			

@article{Clague96,
	Author = {Clague,  Christopher,  Philip  Keefer,  Stephen  Knack  and  Mancur Olson},
	Title = {Property and Contract Rights in Autocracies and Democracies},
	Journal = {Journal of Economic Growth},
	Volume = {1},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {243-276},
	Year = {1996}}		
			
@article{ChinnIto08,
	Author = {Chinn, Menzie D. and Hiro Ito},
	Title = {A New Measure of Financial Openness},
	Journal = {Journal of Comparative Policy Analysis},
	Volume = {10},
	Number = {3},
	Pages = {307-320},
	Year = {2008}}	
	
	
@incollection{Li06,
	Address = {Oxford, UK},
	Author = {Li, Quan},
	Booktitle = {Regional Economic Integration},
	Editor = {Fratianni, Michele},
	Pages = {225-249},
	Publisher = {JAI Press},
	Title = {Political Violence and Foreign Direct Investment},
	Year = {2006}}
		
@incollection{MihalacheVashchilko10,
	Address = {London},
	Author = {Mihalache-O'Keef, Andreea and Tatinana Vashchilko},
	Booktitle = {Ending Wars, Consolidating Peace: Economic Perspectives},
	Editor = {Berdal, Mats and Achim Wennman},
	Pages = {137-156},
	Publisher = {Routledge/IISS},
	Title = {Foreign Direct Investors in Conflict Zones},
	Year = {2010}}

@incollection{Wagner93,
	Address = {New York, NY},
	Author = {Wagner, R. Harrison},
	Booktitle = {Stop the Killing: How Civil Wars End},
	Editor = {Licklider, Roy},
	Pages = {235-268},
	Publisher = {New York University Press},
	Title = {The Causes of Peace},
	Year = {1993}}
	

@book{Castillo08,
	Address = {New York, NY},
	Author = {Castillo, Graciana del},
	Publisher = {Oxford University Press},
	Title = {Rebuilding War-Torn States: The Challenge of Post-Conflict Economic Reconstruction},
	Year = {2008}}


@book{Zartman95,
	Address = {Washington, DC},
	Author = {Zartman, I. William},
	Publisher = {Brookings},
	Title = {Elusive Peace: Negotiating an End to Civil Wars},
	Year = {1995}}
	
	
@article{Kreutz10,
	Author = {Kreutz, Joakim},
	Title = {How and When Armed Conflicts End: Introducing the UCDP Conflict Termination Dataset},
	Journal = {Journal of Peace Research},
	Volume = {47},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {243-250},
	Year = {2010}}
	
@unpublished{Kreutz10b,
	Author = {Kreutz, Joakim},
	Title = {Navigating the Fog of Peace},
	Note = {Paper presented at the SGIR 7ht Pan-European International. Relations Conference, Stockholm. September 9-11 2010},
	Year = {2010}}
	

@unpublished{Zelig,
	Author = {Imai, Kosuke and Gary King and Olivia Lau},
	Date-Added = {2010-07-17 16:50:24 +0200},
	Date-Modified = {2010-07-17 16:58:09 +0200},
	Title = {Zelig: Everyone's Statistical Software},
	Url = {http://GKing.havard.edu/zelig},
	Year = {2007}}


@book{Schelling80,
	Address = {Cambridge, MA},
	Author = {Schelling, Thomas},
	Publisher = {Harvard University Press},
	Title = {The Strategy of Conflict},
	Year = {1980}}
	
@book{SmithAlastair04,
	Address = {Cambridge, UK},
	Author = {Smith, Alastair},
	Publisher = {Cambridge University Press},
	Title = {Election Timing},
	Year = {2004}}
	
@book{Trigeorgis96,
	Address = {Cambridge, MA},
	Author = {Trigeorgis, Lenos},
	Publisher = {The MIT Press},
	Title = {Real Options: Managerial Flexibility and Strategy in Resource Allocation},
	Year = {1996}}


	
@book{Beschloss,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Beschloss, Michael},
	Publisher = {Touchstone},
	Title = {Reaching for Glory: Lyndon Johnson's Secret White House Tapes, 1964--1965},
	Year = {2002}}

@book{Clodfelter,
	Address = {Jefferson, North Carolina},
	Author = {Clodfelter, Michael},
	Publisher = {McFarland $\&$ Company, Inc.},
	Title = {Warfare and Armed Conflicts: A Statistical Reference to Casualty and Other Figures, 1618 -- 1991},
	Year = {2002}}

@book{Stoessinger,
	Address = {Boston},
	Author = {Stoessinger, John},
	Publisher = {Wadsworth, Cengage Learning},
	Title = {Why Nations Go To War},
	Edition = {11},
	Year = {2011}}


@book{FLS,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Frieden, Jeffrey and David Lake and Kenneth Schultz},
	Publisher = {W. W. Norton},
	Title = {World Politics: Interests, Interactions and Institutions},
	Year = {2010}}

@book{Marolda,
	Address = {Annapolis},
	Author = {Marolda, Edward},
	Publisher = {Naval Institute Press},
	Title = {The US Navy in the Korean War},
	Year = {2007}}

@book{Halberstam,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Halberstam, David},
	Publisher = {Hyperion},
	Title = {The Coldest Winter: America and the Korean War},
	Year = {2007}}

@book{HalberstamBB,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Halberstam, David},
	Publisher = {Ballatine Books},
	Title = {The Best and the Brightest},
	Year = {1972}}

@misc{LBJinterview,
	Author = {Moyers, Bill},
	Howpublished = {Electronic Transcript},
	Note = {http://www.pbs.org/moyers/journal/11202009/transcript1.html},
	Title = {Bill Moyers Journal},
	Year = {November 20, 2009}}

@misc{ApprovalandElections,
    Author = {Silver, Nate},
    Howpublished = {New York Times},
    Note = {http://www.nytimes.com/2011/11/06/magazine/nate-silver-handicaps-2012-election.html?pagewanted=all},
    Title = {Is Obama Toast? Handicapping the 2012 Election},
    Year = {November 3, 2011}}
    
@misc{One,
	Author = {{Foreign Desk}},
	Howpublished = {\textit{New York Times}},
	Title = {Sudan Asks Action by U.N. in Bombing},
	Year = {{March 28, 1984}}}
	
@misc{Two,
	Author = {{Foreign Desk}},
	Howpublished = {\textit{New York Times}},
	Title = {Egypt Preparing to Face a Threat},
	Year = {{March 29, 1984}}}
    
@misc{Three,
	Author = {Miller, Judith},
	Howpublished = {\textit{New York Times}},
	Title = {Air Raid Dampens Criticism in Sudan},
	Year = {{March 26, 1984}}}

@misc{Four,
	Author = {Gwertzman, Bernard},
	Howpublished = {\textit{New York Times}},
	Title = {U.S. Warns Libya Against Attacking Awacs Over Sudan},
	Year = {{March 20, 1984}}}

@misc{Five,
	Author = {{Foreign Desk}},
	Howpublished = {\textit{New York Times}},
	Title = {Sudan Warns Libya and Ethiopia},
	Year = {{March 4, 1984}}}

@misc{Six,
	Author = {{Foreign Desk}},
	Howpublished = {\textit{New York Times}},
	Title = {U.S. Official Due in Sudan for Talks on Arms},
	Year = {{March 6, 1984}}}





@misc{Cheney1,
	Author = {Pope, Charles},
	Howpublished = {Seattle Post Intelligencer},
	Note = {http://seattlepi.nwsource.com/national/$192908$\_cheney$29$.html},
	Title = {Cheney Changes His Views on Iraq},
	Year = {February 24, 2011}}
	
@misc{Saudis,
	Author = {Evans-Pritchard, Ambrose},
	Howpublished = {The Telegraph},
	Note = {http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/financetopics/oilprices/8344421/Saudi-ruler-offers-36bn-to-stave-off-uprising-amid-warning-oil-price-could-double.html},
	Title = {Saudi Ruler Offers \$36bn to Stave Off Uprising Amid Warning Oil Price Could Double},
	Year = {September 29, 2004}}	

@misc{Cuba96,
	Author = {Weiner, Tim},
	Howpublished = {New York Times},
	Note = {http://www.nytimes.com/1996/02/26/world/clinton-considers-punishing-cubans-for-plane-attack.html?scp=26&sq=cuba&st=nyt},
	Title = {Clinton Considers Punishing Cubans for Plane Attack},
	Year = {February 27, 1996}}
	

@misc{WPO2006,
	Author = {Weber, Stephen},
	Howpublished = {World Public Opinion},
	Note = {http://www.worldpublicopinion.org/pipa/articles/brlatinamericara/$161$.php?nid$=\&$id$=\&$pnt$=161\&$lb$=$brla},
	Title = {In Mexico, U.S., and Canada, Public Support for NAFTA Surprisingly Strong, Given Each Country Sees Grass as Greener on Other Side},
	Year = {January 23, 2006}}

@misc{GulfTonkin,
	Author = {Kenworthy, E.W.},
	Howpublished = {New York Times},
	Title = {Resolution Wins},
	Year = {August 8, 1964}}

@misc{GulfTonkin2,
	Author = {Finney, John},
	Howpublished = {New York Times},
	Title = {Senators,81 T0 10, Vote for Repeal of Tonkin Action},
	Year = {June 25, 1970}}
	
@misc{ApprovalData,
	Author = {Woolley, John, and Gerhard Peters},
	Howpublished = {Available at: \url{http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/index.php}, accessed September 24, 2010},
	Title = {The American Presidency Project: Presidential Job Approval},
	Year = {2010}}

@misc{UnemploymentData,
	Author = {{Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis}},
	Howpublished = {Available at: \url{http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/data/UNRATE.txt}, accessed January 15, 2009},
	Title = {Civilian Unemployment Rate},
	Year = {2009}}

@misc{InflationData,
	Author = {{Inflation Data}},
	Howpublished = {Available at: \url{http://inflationdata.com/inflation/}, accessed January 13, 2009},
	Title = {Monthly Inflation Rate},
	Year = {2009}}

@misc{Airlift,
    Author = {{The German Way}},
    Howpublished = {Available at: \url{http://www.german-way.com/airlift.html}, accessed July 1, 2011},
    Title = {The Berlin Airlift},
    Year = {2011}}

@misc{Inflation,
    Author = {{The Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis}},
    Howpublished = {Available at: \url{http://www.minneapolisfed.org/community_education/teacher/calc/hist1800.cfm}, accessed July 1, 2011},
    Title = {Consumer Price Index},
    Year = {2011}}


@misc{Polity,
	Author = {Marshall, Monty G. and Keith Jaggers},
	Howpublished = {College Park, MD: Center for International Development and Conflict Management, University of Maryland},
	Title = {Polity IV Data Set},
	Year = {2002}}
		
@misc{FirstLebWAr,
	Author = {Shipler, David},
	Howpublished = {New York Times},
	Title = {Why Israelis Invaded Now},
	Year = {June 6, 1982}}

@misc{OppLebWar1,
	Author = {Clarity, James},
	Howpublished = {New York Times},
	Title = {Antiwar Minority Remains Vocal and Visible and Small},
	Year = {August 7, 1982}}

@misc{SecLebWar,
	Author = {Erlanger, Steven},
	Howpublished = {New York Times},
	Title = {War Gives Israeli Leader Political Capital},
	Year = {July 15, 2006}}

@misc{OppLebWar2,
	Author = {Erlanger, Steven},
	Howpublished = {New York Times},
	Title = {Left or Right, Israelis are Pro-War},
	Year = {August 9, 2006}}

@misc{CNN2004EP,
	Author = {CNN},
	Howpublished = {http://www.cnn.com/},
	Title = {CNN National Exit Poll},
	Year = {2004}}

@misc{USwarnsLibya,
	Author = {Gwertzman, Bernard},
	Howpublished = {New York Times},
	Title = {US Warns Libya Against Attacking AWACS Over Sudan},
	Year = {March 20, 1984}}

@misc{SudanWarnsLibya,
	Author = {UPI},
	Howpublished = {New York Times},
	Title = {Sudan Warns Libya and Ethiopia},
	Year = {March 4, 1984}}

@misc{SyriansGame,
	Author = {Sciolino, Elaine and Douglas Jehl},
	Howpublished = {New York Times},
	Title = {Syrian's Game: Both Ends Against the Middle},
	Year = {June 15, 1996}}

@book{Blainey,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Blainey, Geoffrey},
	Publisher = {The Free Press},
	Title = {The Causes of War},
	Year = {1988}}

@book{Organski1958,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Organski, A.F.K.},
	Publisher = {Alfred A. Knopf},
	Title = {World Politics},
	Year = {1958}}

@book{OrganskiKugler1980,
	Address = {Chicago},
	Author = {Organski, A.F.K. and Jacek Kugler},
	Publisher = {University of Chicago Press},
	Title = {The War Ledge},
	Year = {1980}}

@book{Morgenthau,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Morgenthau, Hans},
	Note = {6th Ed.},
	Publisher = {Alfred A. Knopf},
	Title = {Politics Among Nations: The Struggle for Power and Peace},
	Year = {1985}}

@book{Carr,
	Address = {London},
	Author = {Carr, E.H.},
	Publisher = {Macmillan},
	Title = {The Twenty Years' Crisis, 1919--1939: An Introduction to the Study of International Relations},
	Year = {1939}}

@book{Machiavelli,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Machiavelli, Niccolo},
	Note = {Translated by Christian Detmold},
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@book{Oren,
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@book{Mearsh2001,
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@book{Gartner1997,
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@book{BdmLalman1992,
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@book{Bdmmss2003,
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	Author = {Przeworski, Adam and Michael Alvarez and Jose Antonio Cheibub and Fernando Limongi},
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@book{Sartori2005,
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	Author = {Sartori, Anne},
	Date-Added = {Saturday, March 22, 2008 13:50},
	Date-Modified = {Saturday, March 22, 2008 13:51},
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	Title = {Deterrence by Diplomacy},
	Year = {2005}}

@book{Powell1999,
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	Author = {Robert Powell},
	Date-Added = {Saturday, March 22, 2008 13:52},
	Date-Modified = {Saturday, March 22, 2008 13:53},
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	Title = {New Concerns in an Uncertain World: The 2007 A.T. Kearney FDI Confidence Index},
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	Year = {2007}}
	
	
	
	
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	Author = {Morgan, Stephen and Christopher Winship},
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	Year = {2004}}

@book{GelpiFeaverReifler2009,
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	Date-Added = {Saturday, March 22, 2008 14:09},
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	Year = {1996}}

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	Date-Added = {Saturday, March 22, 2008 14:28},
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	Year = {2000}}

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@book{Lemke1996,
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	Title = {Parity and War: Evaluations and Extensions of \textit{The War Ledger}},
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	Title = {Regions of War and Peace},
	Year = {2002}}

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	Year = {2001}}

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	Title = {The Wages of War, 1816-1965: A Statistical Handbook},
	Year = {1972}}

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	Year = {1982}}

@book{ElmanElman,
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@book{Rigor,
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	Editor = {Brown, Michael and Owen Cote and Sean Lynn-Jones and Steven Miller},
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	Title = {Ratinal Choice and Security Studies: Stephen Walt and His Critics},
	Year = {2000}}

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	Publisher = {The MIT Press},
	Title = {The Theory of Learning in Games},
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@book{HarsanyiSelten88,
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	Title = {A General Theory of Equilibrium Selection in Games},
	Year = {1988}}	

@article{Harsanyi73,
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	Year = {1998}}



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@article{Slantchev2003a,
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@article{Slantchev2003b,
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@article{Slantchev2004,
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@article{Slantchev2005,
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@article{Slantchev2006,
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	Title = {Politicians, the Media, and Domestic Audience Costs},
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@article{SlantchevLev2007,
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@article{Slantchev2010,
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@article{Slantchev2012,
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@article{Trager2010,
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@article{Myerson09,
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@article{OchsRoth89,
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@article{Rubinstein82,
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@article{Fearon1994,
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	Title = {Domestic Political Audiences and the Escalation of International Disputes},
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	Year = {1994}}

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@article{FearonLaitin2003,
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	Year = {2003}}

@article{Fearon2004,
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@article{CollierHoeffler2004,
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@article{CollierHoeffler1998,
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	Year = {1998}}

@article{HumphreysWeinstein2008,
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	Title = {Who Fights? The Determinants of Participation in Civil War},
	Volume = {52},
	Year = {2008}}

@article{Kalyvas2007,
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	Journal = {World Politics},
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	Year = {2007}}

@article{Kalyvas2008,
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@article{KalyvasBalcells2010,
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	Title = {International System and Technologies of Rebellion: How the End of the Cold War Shaped Internal Conflict},
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	Number = {3},
	Pages = {415--429},
	Year = {2010}}

@article{Fearon1997,
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	Year = {1997}}

@article{CrawfordSobel1982,
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    Year = {1982}}

@article{CrawfordHaller90,
    Title = {Learning How to Cooperate: Optimal Play in Repeated Coordination Games},
    Author = {Crawford, Vincent and Hans Haller},
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    Pages = {571-595},
    Year = {1990}}


		
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	Year = {2002}}

@article{FilsonWerner2004,
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	Year = {2004}}

@article{Malueg10,
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@article{FilsonWerner2007a,
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	Year = {2007}}

@article{FilsonWerner2007b,
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	Title = {Sensitivity to the Costs of Fighting versus Sensitivity to Losing the Conflict: Implications for War Onset, Duration and Outcomes},
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	Year = {2007}}

@article{Doyle1986,
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	Title = {Liberalism and World Politics},
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@article{Nash50b,
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@article{MaozRussett1993,
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@article{JamesMitchell1995,
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@article{DavenportArmstrong2004,
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@article{Kam2006,
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@article{PartellPalmer1999,
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@article{EyermanHart1996,
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@article{BrunettiWeder2003,
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@article{BerryHowell2007,
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@article{ChangGolden2006,
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@unpublished{AchenBartelsChairs,
	Author = {Achen, Christopher and Larry Bartles},
	Note = {Draft},
	Title = {Musical Chairs: Pocketbook Voting and Limits of Democratic Accountability}}

@unpublished{Hendrixdraft,
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	Title = {Leviathan in the Tropics: Geography, Bargaining and State Extractive Capacity}}

@article{Hendrix2010,
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	Number = {3},
	Pages = {273--285},
	Year = {2010}}

@unpublished{Beberdraft,
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@unpublished{Carterleadersdraft,
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@unpublished{Fearonpolecdraft,
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@unpublished{Fearonfightdraft,
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@unpublished{Powelldraft,
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	Title = {Persistent Fighting to Forestall Adverse Shifts in Power}}


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@article{Miller1999,
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@article{EnterlineGleditsch2000,
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@article{PickeringKisangani2005,
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	Year = {2005}}

@article{MitchellPrins2004,
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	Year = {2004}}

@article{Foster2006b,
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	Volume = {23},
	Year = {2006}}

@article{Foster2008,
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	Year = {2008}}

@article{Werner2000b,
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	Year = {2000}}

@article{DanilovicClare2007,
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	Year = {2007}}

@article{PickeringKisangani2007,
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	Volume = {51},
	Year = {2007}}

@incollection{Levy1989,
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	Author = {Levy, Jack},
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	Year = {1989}}

@article{GroelingBaum2008,
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	Year = {2008}}

@article{Kurizaki2007,
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	Year = {2007}}

@article{Tomz2007,
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	Year = {2007}}

@article{LevenduskyHorowitz,
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	Title = {When Backing Down Is the Right Decision: Partisanship, New Information, and Audience Costs},
    Journal = {Journal of Politics},
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    Pages = {},
    Year = {Forthcoming}}


@article{Schultz2001b,
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	Year = {2001}}

@article{Canes-Wrone2001,
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@article{FoxShotts2009,
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@unpublished{Woondraft,
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	Note = {Draft manuscript},
	Title = {Democratic Accountability and Retrospective Voting in the Lab}}

@article{CarterSignorino2010,
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	Year = {2010}}
	

@book{Campbell1960,
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@book{Kleiman2009,
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@unpublished{Nyhandraft,
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	Note = {draft manuscript},
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@article{NyhanReifler2010,
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	Volume = {32},
	Year = {2010}}

@unpublished{ArenaJoycedraft,
	Author = {Arena, Philip and Kyle A. Joyce},
	Note = {Draft manuscript},
	Title = {Improving Inferences in the Study of Crisis Bargaining}}

@unpublished{Arenadraft1,
	Author = {Arena, Philip},
	Note = {Draft Manuscript},
	Title = {Crisis Bargaining and Domestic Opposition}}

@unpublished{ArenaPechenkina,
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	Note = {Draft Manuscript},
	Title = {External Subsidies and Lasting Peace}}

@unpublished{ArenaNicoletti,
	Author = {Arena, Philip and Nicholas P. Nicoletti},
	Note = {draft manuscript},
	Title = {Selectorate Theory, the Democratic Peace, and Public Goods Provision}}


@article{Dafoe2011,
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    Number = {2},
    Pages = {247--262},
    Year = {2011}}

@article{ArenaWolford,
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    Journal = {International Studies Quarterly},
    Year = {2012}}

@unpublished{WolfordRider,
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	Note = {Draft manuscript},
	Title = {Implementing the Peace: A Unified Theory of State and Non-State War}}

@article{Wolford2012,
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    Number = {4},
    Pages = {517--530},
    Year = {2012}}

@unpublished{Wolforddraft2,
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	Note = {Draft Manuscript},
	Title = {Interstate Coalitions and Strategic Restraint}}

@unpublished{Wolforddraft3,
	Author = {Wolford, Scott},
	Note = {Draft Manuscript},
	Title = {Coalitional Coercion}}

@unpublished{Arenadraft3,
	Author = {Arena, Philip},
	Note = {draft manuscript},
	Title = {Conditional Retrospection: Party Positions, Policy Performance and Presidential Elections}}


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	Year = {2008}}

@article{Reedetal2008,
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@article{Fuhrer1995,
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@article{KleinStern2006,
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@article{Abrams2006,
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@article{Barro1989,
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@article{Barro1974,
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@article{Seater1993,
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@article{BrandenburgerDekel87,
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@article{Aumann87,
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@article{Aumann1976,
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@article{HansonCowen,
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@article{Campbell2008,
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	Year = {2008}}

@article{Campbell2009,
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	Year = {2009}}

@article{Lewis-BeckTien2008,
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	Year = {2008}}

@article{Lewis-BeckStegmaier2000,
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@article{DuchPalmerAnderson2000,
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	Year = {2000}}

@article{Abramowitz2008,
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@book{Fiorina1981,
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@book{EnelowHinich1984,
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@book{MullerStrom1999,
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@article{MillerSchofield2003,
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@article{MillerSchofield2007,
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	Year = {2007}}

@article{Schofield2004,
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	Year = {2004}}

@article{AnsolabehereSnyder2000,
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	Year = {2000}}

@article{AnsolabehereSnyderRodden2008,
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	Year = {2008}}

@article{Boudreau2009,
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	Year = {2009}}

@article{Jessee2009,
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	Year = {2009}}

@article{Aldrich1983,
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	Year = {1983}}
	
@article{Jankowski2002,
	Author = {Jankowski, Richard},
	Journal = {Rationality and Society},
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	Volume = {14},
	Number = {1},
	Pages = {55--77},
	Year = {2002}}

@article{Glazer2008,
	Author = {Glazer, Amihai},
	Journal = {Public Choice},
	Title = {Voting to Anger and to Please Others},
	Volume = {134},
	Number = {3--4},
	Pages = {247--254},
	Year = {2008}}

@article{FeddersenGailmardSandroni2009,
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	Volume = {103},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {175--192},
	Year = {2009}}

@article{EdlinGelmanKaplan2007,
	Author = {Edlin, Aaron and Andrew Gelman and Noah Kaplan},
	Title = {Voting as a Rational Choice: Why and How People Vote to Improve the Well-Being of Others},
	Journal = {Rationality and Society},
	Volume = {19},
	Number = {3},
	Pages = {293--314},
	Year = {2007}}

@article{GerberGreenLarimer2008,
	Author = {Gerber, Alan and Donal Green and Christopher Larimer},
	Title = {Social Pressure and Voter Turnout: Evidence from a Large-Scale Field Experiment},
	Journal = {American Political Science Review},
	Volume = {102},
	Number = {1},
	Pages = {33--48},
	Year = {2008}}


@misc{CNNExitPolls2008,
	Author = {CNN},
	Note = {http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/$2008$/results/polls.main/},
	Title = {Exit Polls},
	Year = {November 5, 2008}}

@misc{banyan,
	Author = {Economist},
	url = {http://www.economist.com/news/asia/21657809-election-myanmar-may-produce-more-questions-answers-lose-lose-election},
	Title = {The Lose-lose election: An Election in Myanmar May Produce More Questions than Answers},
	month = {July},
	note = {[Online; posted 18-July-2015]},
	Year = {2015}}
	
	@misc{fingar,
	Author = {Fingar, Courtney},
	url = {www.ft.com/cms/s/3/c052281e-10fa-11e5-9bf8-00144feabdc0.html},
	Editor = {Financial Times},
	Title = {Post-election Uncertainty Threatens Turkey’s Falling FDI},
	month = {June},
	note = {[Online; posted 12-June-2015]},
	Year = {2015}}
	
	
@unpublished{EsareyDeMerritdraft,
	Author = {Berry, William and Justin Esarey and Jacqueline DeMerrit},
	Note = {Draft},
	Title = {Testing for Interaction in Binary Logit and Probit Models: Is a Product Term Essential?}}

@article{BafumiShapiro2009,
	Author = {Bafumi, Joseph and Robert Shapiro},
	Journal = {Journal of Politics},
	Number = {1},
	Pages = {1-24},
	Title = {A New Partisan Voter},
	Volume = {71},
	Year = {2009}}

@article{Petrocik1996,
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	Journal = {American Journal of Political Science},
	Number = {3},
	Pages = {825-850},
	Title = {Issue Ownership in Presidential Elections, with a 1980 Case Study},
	Volume = {40},
	Year = {1996}}

@article{Fordham2002,
	Author = {Fordham, Benjamin},
	Journal = {Journal of Conflict Resolution},
	Number = {4},
	Pages = {572-596},
	Title = {Another Look at ``Parties, Voters and the Use of Force Abroad},
	Volume = {46},
	Year = {2002}}

@misc{Obamanomics,
	Author = {Leonhardt, David},
	Howpublished = {New York Times},
	Note = {http://www.nytimes.com/$2008/08/24$/magazine/$24$Obamanomics-t.html},
	Title = {Obamanomics},
	Year = {August 20, 2007}}


@misc{DanubrataHung2014,
	Author = {Danubrata, Eveline and Faith Hung},
	Howpublished = {Reuters},
	Note = {},
	Title = {In Indonesia, Foreign Investors Wait to See Who Will be President},
	Year = {June 12, 2014}}
	
	
@article{PalmerDuch2000,
	Author = {Duch, Raymond and Harvey Palmer and Christopher Anderson},
	Journal = {American Journal of Political Science},
	Number = {4},
	Pages = {635-652},
	Title = {Heterogeneity in Perceptions of National Economic Conditions},
	Volume = {44},
	Year = {2000}}

@article{PalmerDuch2001,
	Author = {Palmer, Harvey and Raymond Duch},
	Journal = {Political Analysis},
	Number = {1},
	Pages = {58-77},
	Title = {Do Surveys Provide Representative or Whimsical Assessments of the Economy?},
	Volume = {9},
	Year = {2001}}

@article{Danilovic2001,
	Author = {Danilovic, Vesna},
	Journal = {Journal of Conflict Resolution},
	Number = {3},
	Pages = {341-369},
	Title = {The Sources of Threat Credibility in Extended Deterrence},
	Volume = {45},
	Year = {2001}}

@article{Morrow2007,
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	Number = {3},
	Pages = {559-572},
	Title = {When Do States Follow the Laws of War?},
	Volume = {101},
	Year = {2007}}

@article{KingZeng2006,
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	Journal = {Political Analysis},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {131--159},
	Title = {The Dangers of Extreme Counterfactuals},
	Volume = {14},
	Year = {2006}}

@article{BSDeBoefJoyce2006,
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	Journal = {Manuscript},
	Title = {Time Dependence and Heterogeneity in Duration Models: The Conditional Frailty Model},
	Year = {2006}}

@book{Boulding1962,
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	Author = {Boulding, Kenneth E.},
	Publisher = {Harper \& Row},
	Title = {Conflict and Defense: A General Theory},
	Year = {1962}}

@article{Duffy1992,
	Author = {Duffy, Gavan},
	Journal = {Mathematical and Computer Modelling},
	Number = {8/9},
	Pages = {241-70},
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	Volume = {16},
	Year = {1992}}

@incollection{BremerMihalka1977,
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	Author = {Bremer, Stuart A. and Michael Mihalka},
	Booktitle = {Problems of World Modeling},
	Editor = {Deutsch, Karl W.},
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@article{BoehmerGartzkeNordstrom2004,
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@article{GartzkeLi2003,
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@article{Li2005,
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@book{CedermanGleditschBuhaug13,
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@article{BennettStam1998,
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@book{BennettStam2004,
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@article{BalchLindsayEnterlineJoyce2005,
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@article{JonesBremerSinger1996,
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@article{GartnerSiverson96,
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@book{Walt1987,
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@article{Schweller1994,
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@article{WernerLemke1997,
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@book{ReiterStam2002,
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@article{ReiterStam1998,
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@article{Werner2000,
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@article{Kydd1997,
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@book{Kydd2005,
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@article{Kydd2003,
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@article{BennettStam2000,
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@book{DiehlGoertz2000,
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@article{KleinGoertzDiehl2006,
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	Year = {1990}}

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	Year = {1980}}

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@article{Hegre2001,
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@article{PevehouseRussett2006,
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@article{Bennett1996,
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@article{Leeds2003,
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@incollection{SiversonKing1979,
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@incollection{Bremer1980,
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@book{Doyle1997,
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@article{Elekdag1996,
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@article{Bdmmss1999,
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@article{WardSiversonCao2007,
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@book{Vasquez1996,
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@book{Huth1996,
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@article{SignorinoRitter1999,
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@article{HouwelingSiccama1985,
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@article{ZornVanWinkle2000,
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@article{DiermeierStevenson1999,
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@article{AbbottSnidal1998,
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@article{Nordhaus75,
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@conference{Bremer1992,
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@article{WallaceSinger1970,
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@article{PevehouseNordstromWarnke2004,
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@article{Gleditsch2002,
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@article{BDM1975,
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@article{Sarkees2000,
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@article{BSZorn2001,
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@article{BSReiterZorn2003,
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@book{BSJones2004,
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@book{Allison1984,
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@article{Gordon2002,
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@book{EvansHastingsPeacock1993,
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@book{AcemogluRobinson06,
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@book{ACLP00,
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@article{AdesTella99,
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@article{Ahmed12,
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@article{AlvarezGlasgow99,
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@article{AlleePeinhardt11,
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@article{Archigos,
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@book{Banks13,
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@article{Bardhan97,
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@article{BaumSchafferStillman03,
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  volume =       {54},
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@article{BeckKatz95,
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@article{BoixSvolik13,
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@book{Buchanan80,
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@article{ButheMilner08,
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@book{CameronTrivedi05 ,
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@Article{CarterSignorino10,
  AUTHOR =       {Carter, David and Curt Signorino},
  TITLE =        {Back to the Future: Modeling Time Dependence in Binary Data},
  JOURNAL =       {Political Analysis},
  YEAR =         {2010},
  number =       {3},
    pages =        {271-292},
volume = {18} }


  @article{CGV10,
	Author = {Jos\'{e} Antonio Cheibub and Jennifer Gandhi and James Raymond Vreeland},
	Journal = {Public Choice},
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	Title = {Democracy and Dictatorship Revisited},
	Volume = {143},
	Year = {2010}}



@article{DeBoefKeele08,
	Author = {De Boef, Suzanna and Luke Keele},
	Journal = {American Journal of Political Science},
	Number = {1},
	Pages = {184-200},
	Title = {Taking Time Seriously},
	Volume = {52},
	Year = {2008}}

@article{HydeMarinov12,
	Author = {Hyde, Susan D. and Nikolay Marinov},
	Journal = {Political Analysis},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {191-201},
	Title = {Which Elections Can Be Lost?},
	Volume = {20},
	Year = {2012}}

@article{DebsGoemans10,
  title={Regime type, the fate of leaders, and war},
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  pages={430--445},
  year={2010}}
 
@book{DolzerSchreuer08,
    author    = {Dolzer, Rudolf and Christoph Schreuer},
    title     = {Principles of International Investment Law},
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    address   = {New York, NY}
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@article{DPI,
  title={New tools in comparative political economy: The Database of Political Institutions},
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  number={1},
  pages={165--176},
  year={2001},
  publisher={World Bank}
}
  
	
	@BOOK{pinto2013partisan,
  title = {Partisan Investment in the Global Economy: Why the Left Loves Foreign
	Direct Investment and FDI Loves the Left},
  publisher = {Cambridge University Press},
  year = {2013},
  author = {Pinto, Pablo M}
}

@UNPUBLISHED{PintoZhu15,
  author = {Pinto, Pablo M. and Boliang Zhu},
  title = {A Plea for more Politics in the International Business Research Agenda},
  note = {Manuscript},
  year = {2015}
}

	
	
  @article{Dunning04,
	Author = {Dunning, Thad},
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	Number = {2},
	Pages = {409-423},
	Title = {Conditioning the Effects of Aid: Cold War Politics, Donor Credibility, and Democracy in Africa},
	Volume = {58},
	Year = {2004}}

  @article{EggerPfaffermayr04,
	Author = {Egger, Peter and Michael Pfaffermayr},
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	Title = {The Impact of Bilateral Investment Treaties on Foreign Direct Investment},
	Volume = {32},
	Year = {2004}}

  @article{Eckard05,
	Author = {Eckard, E. Woodrow},
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	Volume = {43},
	Year = {2005}}
		
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	Title = {Competing for Capital: The Diffusion of Bilateral Investment Treaties, 1960-2000},
	Volume = {60},
	Year = {2006}}


@book{EsanovBuiterRaiser04,
	Address = {Bonn, Germany},
	Author = {Esanov, Akram and Martin Raiser and Willem H. Buiter},
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	Volume = {54},
	Year = {2010}}
	
	
	
	
@book{Evans79,
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@article{FearonLaitin03,
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  number={1},
  pages={75-90},
  year={2003},
}



@book{Gandhi08,
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	Author = {Gandhi, Jennifer},
	Publisher = {Cambridge University Press},
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	Year = {2008}}

@Article{Gandhi06,
  AUTHOR =       {Gandhi, Jennifer, and Adam Przeworski},
  TITLE =        {Cooperation, Cooptation, and Rebellion under Dictatorships},
  JOURNAL =       {Economics and Politics},
  YEAR =         {2006},
  number =       {1},
  volume = {18},
  pages ={1-26}
  }



  @article{Geddes99,
	Author = {Geddes, Barbara},
	Journal = {Annual Review of Political Science},
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	Title = {What Do We Know About Democratization After Twenty Years?},
	Volume = {2},
	Year = {1999}}



@BOOK{Geddes03,
  AUTHOR =       {Geddes, Barbara},
  TITLE =        {Paradigms and Sand Castles},
  PUBLISHER =    {Univ. of Michigan Press},
  YEAR =         {2003},
  address =      {Ann Arbor},
}

@article{GehlbachKeefer12,
  title={Private investment and the institutionalization of collective action in autocracies: ruling parties and legislatures},
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  number={02},
  pages={621--635},
  year={2012},
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@article{Gleditsch02,
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  author={Gleditsch, Nils Peter and Peter Wallensteen and Mikael Eriksson and Margareta Sollenberge and Havard Strand},
  journal={Journal of Peace Research},
  volume={39},
  number={5},
  pages={615--637},
  year={2002},
}

@article{Gleditsch04,
  title={Autocratic transitions and democratization},
  author={Gleditsch, Kristian Skrede and Choung, Jinhee L},
  journal={Manuscript. University of California, San Diego, Calif},
  year={2004}
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@article{GleditschWard97,
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  volume={41},
  number={3},
  pages={361--383},
  year={1997}}

@article{Goemans03,
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  author={Chiozza, Giacomo and Goemans, Hein E},
  journal={Journal of Conflict Resolution},
  volume={47},
  number={4},
  pages={443--467},
  year={2003},
}

  @Article{Goldsmith01,
  AUTHOR =       {Goldsmith, Aurthur},
  TITLE =        {Foreign Aid and Statehood in Africa},
  JOURNAL =       {International Organization},
  YEAR =         {2001},
  number =       {1},
  volume=  {55},
  pages =        {123-148},
  }


	
@book{Green12,
  author =       {Green, William},
  title =        {Econometric Analysis. 7th ed.},
  year={2012},
  publisher={Prentice–Hall}, 
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@Article{GWF14,
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  Author                   = {Geddes, Barbara and Joseph Wright and Erica Frantz},
  Journal                  = {Perspectives on Politics},
  Year                     = {2014},
  Number                   = {2},
  Pages                    = {313-331},
  Volume                   = {12}
}
  @article{Gurr74,
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  year={1974}}
	

@incollection{Haber06,
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	author = {Haber, Stephen},
	editor = {Barry R. Weingast and Donald A. Wittman},
}

 @article{HadeniusTeorell05,
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  author={Hadenius, Axel and Jan Teorell},
  journal={Committee on Concepts and Methods Working Papers 6, IPSA},
  year={2005}}

  @article{Hansen82,
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  author={Hansen, Lars Peterusman},
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  volume={50},
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  pages={1269-1286},
  year={1982}}
	
	  @article{DickeyFuller79,
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  year={1979}}
	
	
		  @article{DickeyFuller81,
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  number={4},
  pages={1057-72},
  year={1981}}


		  @article{PhillipsPerron88,
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	@unpublished{Harm01,
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International Business Research Agenda},
	Year = {2001}}
	
	  @article{Hashim11,
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  author={Hashim, Ahmed},
  journal={Middle East Policy},
  volume={18},
  number={4},
  pages={106-128},
  year={2011}}
	
  @article{Hausman78,
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  journal={Econometrica},
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  number={6},
  pages={1251-1271},
  year={1978}}

  @article{Heinz02,
  title={The Institutional Environment for Infrastructure Investment},
  author={Heinz, Witold J.},
  journal={Industrial and Corporate Change},
  volume={11},
  number={2},
  pages={355-389},
  year={2002}}
		
@book{HestonSummersAten11,
  author =       {Heston, Alan Heston and Robert Summers and Bettina Aten},
  title =        {Penn World Table Version 7.0},
  year={2011},
  publisher={Center for International Comparisons of Production, Income and Prices at the University of Pennsylvania}, 
address = {}
}

@article{Jensen03,
  author =       {Jensen, Nathan M.},
  title =        {Democratic Governance and Multinational Corporations: Political Regimes and Inflows of Foreign Direct Investment},
  journal =      {International Oganization},
  year =         {2003},
  volume =       {57},
  number =       {3},
  pages =        {587-616},
  }
  

 @article{JensenWantchekon04,
  author =       {Jensen, Nathan and Leonard Wantchekon},
  title =        {Resource Wealth and Political Regimes in Africa},
  journal =      {Comparative Political Studies},
  year =         {2004},
  volume =       {37},
  number =       {7},
  pages =        {816-841},
  }

 

@Article{KonoMontinola09,
AUTHOR = {Daniel Yuichi Kono and Gabriella R. Montinola},
TITLE = {Does Foreign Aid Support Autocrats, Democrats, or Both?},
JOURNAL = {Journal of Politics},
YEAR = {2009},
number = {2},
pages = {704-718},
volume = {71}
}



@article{Krueger74,
    author    = {Krueger, Anne O.},
    title     = {The Political Economy of the Rent-Seeking Society},
    journal   = {American Economic Review},
    volume    = {64},
    number  = {3},
    pages     = {291-303},
    year      = {1974}
}

@article{Lee92,
    author    = {Lee, Lung-Fei},
    title     = {Amemiya's Generalized Least Squares and Tests of Overidentification in Simultaneous Equation Models with Qualitative or Limited Dependent Variables},
    journal   = {Econometric Reviews},
    volume    = {11},
    number  = {3},
    pages     = {319-328},
    year      = {1992}
}


@Article{Leff64,
AUTHOR = {Leff, Nathaniel H.},
TITLE = {Economic Development through Bureaucratic Corruption},
JOURNAL = {American Behavioral Scientist},
    volume    = {8},
    number  = {3},
    pages     = {8-14},
    year      = {1964}
}

@Article{Leys65,
AUTHOR = {Leys, Colin},
TITLE = {What is the Problem About Corruption?},
JOURNAL = {The Journal of Modern African Studies},
    volume    = {3},
    number  = {2},
    pages     = {215-230},
    year      = {1965}
}

@Article{Licht10,
AUTHOR = {Licht, Amanda},
TITLE = {Coming into Money: The Impact of Foreign Aid on Leader Survival},
JOURNAL = {Journal of Peace Research},
YEAR = {2010},
number = {1},
pages = {58-87 },
volume = {54}
}


@Article{Lien86,
AUTHOR = {Lien, Da-Hsiang Donald},
TITLE = {A Note on Competitive Bribery Games},
JOURNAL = {Economic Letters},
    volume    = {22},
    number  = {4},
    pages     = {337-341},
    year      = {1986}
}


@Article{LiResnick03,
AUTHOR = {Li, Quan and Adam Resnick},
TITLE = {Reversal of Fortunes: Democratic Institutions and Foreign Direct Investment Inflows to Developing Countries},
JOURNAL = {International Organization},
    volume    = {57},
    number  = {},
    pages     = {175-211},
    year      = {2003}
}


@book{Magaloni06,
	Address = {Cambridge},
	Author = {Magaloni, Beatriz},
	Publisher = {Cambridge University Press},
	Title = {Voting for Autocracy: Hegemonic Party Survival and its Demise in Mexico},
	Year = {2006}}


@book{Jensen06,
	Address = {Princeton, NJ},
	Author = {Jensen, Nathan M.},
	Publisher = {Princeton University Press},
	Title = {Nation-States and the Multinational Corporation: A Political Economy of Foreign Direct Investment},
	Year = {2006}}




@article{Magaloni08,
	Author = {Magaloni, Beatriz},
	Journal = {Comparative Political Studies},
	Number = {4-5},
	Pages = {715-741},
	Title = {Credible Power-Sharing and the Longevity of Authoritarian Rule},
	Volume = {41},
	Year = {2008}}

@article{MaleskyGueorguievJensen,
	Author = {Malesky, Edmund J. and Dimitar Gueorguiev and Nathan Jensen},
	Journal = {American Journal of Political Science},
	Number = {},
	Pages = {},
	Title = {Monopoly Money: Foreign Investment and Bribery in Vietnam, a Survey Experiment},
	Volume = {forthcoming},
	Year = {forthcoming}}

	
@article{Miller12,
  title={Economic Development, Violent Leader Removal, and Democratization},
  author={Miller, Michael K},
  journal={American Journal of Political Science},
  volume={56},
  number={4},
  pages={1002--1020},
  year={2012}}

@article{Milner14,
	Author = {Milner, Helen V.},
	Journal = {World Politics},
	Number = {1},
	Pages = {1-11},
	Title = {The Global Economy, FDI, and the Regime for Investment},
	Volume = {66},
	Year = {2014}}

@article{Moon14,
	Author = {Moon, Chungshik},
	Journal = {International Studies Quarterly},
	Number = {},
	Pages = {},
	Title = {Foreign Direct Investment, Commitment institutions, and
Time Horizon: How some autocrats do better than others?},
	Volume = {forthcoming},
	Year = {forthcoming}}

		

@Article{Morrison07,
AUTHOR = {Morrison, Kevin},
TITLE = {Natural resources, aid, and democratization: A best-case scenario},
JOURNAL = {Public Choice},
YEAR = {2007},
number = {3-4},
pages = {365-386},
volume = {131}
}


@ARTICLE{Morrison09,
  AUTHOR =       {Kevin Morrison},
  TITLE =        {Oil, Non-Tax Revenue, and the Redistributional Foundations of Regime Stability},
  JOURNAL =      {International Organization},
  YEAR =         {2009},
  number =       {1},
  pages =        {107-138},
  volume =        {63},
}

@ARTICLE{MurphyTopel85,
  AUTHOR =       {Murphy, K. M. and R. H. Topel},
  TITLE =        {Estimation and Inference in Two-step Econometric Models},
  JOURNAL =      {Journal of Business and Economic Statistics},
  YEAR =         {1985},
  number =       {3},
  pages =        {370-379},
  volume =        {4},
}


@ARTICLE{NeumayerSpess05,
  AUTHOR =       {Neumayer, Eric and Laura Spess},
  TITLE =        {Do Bilateral Investment Treaties Increase Foreign Direct Investment to Developing Countries?},
  JOURNAL =      {World Development},
  YEAR =         {2005},
  number =       {10},
  pages =        {1567-1585},
  volume =        {33},
}

@book{NewcombeParadell09,
  author =       {Newcombe, Andrew and Lluis Paradell},
  title =        {Law and Practice of Investment Treaties},
  year={2009},
  publisher={Kluwer Law International}, 
address = {BV, Netherlands}
}

@ARTICLE{Newey87,
  AUTHOR =       {Newey, Whitney K.},
  TITLE =        {Efficient Estimation of Limited Dependent Variable Models with Endogenous Explanatory Variables},
  JOURNAL =      {Journal of Econometrics},
  YEAR =         {1987},
  number =       {3},
  pages =        {231-250},
  volume =        {36},
}


       @MISC{OECD13,
  AUTHOR =       {{OECD}},
TITLE = {FDI in Figures},
    HOWPUBLISHED =       {\url{http://www.oecd.org/daf/inv/FDI%20in%20figures.pdf}},
  YEAR =         {2013}
  }	
	
 @book{Olson82,
  title={The Rise and Decline of Nations},
  author={Olson, Mancur},
  year={1982},
  publisher={Yale University Press}, 
address = {New Haven, CT}
}



@article{Olson93,
  author =       {Olson, Mancur},
  title =        {Dictatorship, Democracy, and Development},
  journal =      {American Political Science Review},
  year =         {1993},
  volume =       {87},
  number =       {3},
  pages =        {567-576}
  }
	

       @MISC{Polity10,
  AUTHOR =       {{Polity IV}},
TITLE = {Political Regime Characteristics and Transitions, 1800-2010},
    HOWPUBLISHED =       {\url{http://www.systemicpeace.org/polity/polity4.htm}},
  YEAR =         {2010}
  }

@article{PowellThyne11,
  author =       {Powell, Jonathan and Clayton Thyne},
  title =        {Global Instances of Coups from 1950 to 2010: A New Dataset},
  journal =      {Journal of Peace Research},
  year =         {2011},
  volume =       {48},
  number =       {2},
  pages =        {249-259}
  }

		
@article{Putnam88,
  author =       {Putnam, Robert D.},
  title =        {Diplomacy and Domestic Politics: The Logic of Two-Level Games},
  journal =      {International Organization},
  year =         {1988},
  volume =       {42},
  number =       {3},
  pages =        {51-69},
  }

@article{RiversVuong88,
  author =       {Rivers, Douglas and Quang H. Vuong},
  title =        {Limited Information Estimators and Exogeneity Tests for Simultaneous Probit Models},
  journal =      {Journal of Econometrics},
  year =         {1988},
  volume =       {39},
  number =       {3},
  pages =        {347-366}
  }
	
@article{Ross01,
  author =       {Ross, Michael},
  title =        {Does Oil Hinder Democracy?},
  journal =      {World Politics},
  year =         {2001},
  volume =       {53},
  number =       {3},
  pages =        {325-361}
  }

@book{Ross12,
  author =       {Ross, Michael},
  title =        {The Oil Curse How Petroleum Wealth Shapes the Development of Nations},
  year={2012},
  publisher={Princeton University Press}, 
address = {Princeton, NJ}
}

@article{SalacuseSullivan05,
  author =       {Salacuse, Jeswald and Nicholas Sullivan},
  title =        {Do BITs Really Work? An Evaluation of Bilateral Investment Treaties and Their Grand Bargain},
  journal =      {Harvard International Law Journal},
  year =         {2005},
  volume =       {46},
  number =       {},
  pages =        {67-130},
  }

@article{MarshallStacher12,
  author =       {Marshall, Shana and Joshua Stacher},
  title =        {Egypt's Generals and Transnational Capital},
  journal =      {Middle East Report(MER 262)},
  year =         {2012},
  volume =       {42},
  number =       {Spring},
  pages =        {},
  }
	
@article{Smith04,
  author =       {Smith, Benjamin},
  title =        {Oil Wealth and Regime Survival in the Developing World: 1960-1999},
  journal =      {American Journal of Political Science},
  year =         {2004},
  volume =       {48},
  number =       {2},
  pages =        {232-246},
  }
	
@article{Smith08,
	author = {Smith, Alastair},
	title = {The Perils of Unearned Income},
	journal = {Journal of Politics},
	year = {2008},
	number = {3},
	pages = {780-793},
	volume = {70},
	}
		
@article{StaigerStock97,
  author =       {Staiger, Douglas and James H. Stock},
  title =        {Instrumental Variables Regression with Weak Instruments},
  journal =      {Econometrica},
  year =         {1997},
  volume =       {65},
  number =       {3},
  pages =        {557-586},
  }  

@incollection{StockYogo05,
	title = {Testing for Weak Instruments in Linear IV Regression},
	booktitle = {Identification and Inference for Econometric Models},
	year = {2005},
	pages = {80-108},
	publisher = {Cambridge University Press},
	organization = {Cambridge University Press},
	address = {New York},
	author = {James Stock and Motohiro Yogo},
	editor = {Donald W.K. Andrews},
}

 
@article{Svolik09,
  author =       {Svolik, Milan W.},
  title =        {Power Sharing and Leadership Dynamics in Authoritarian Regimes},
  journal =      {American Journal of Political Science},
  year =         {2009},
  volume =       {53},
  number =       {2},
  pages =        {477-494},
  }
	
@article{Terza08,
  author =       {Terza, Joseph V., Anirban Basu and Paul J. Rathouz},
  title =        {Two-Stage Residual Inclusion Estimation: Addressing Endogeneity in Health Econometric Modeling},
  journal =      {Journal of Health Economics},
  year =         {2008},
  volume =       {27},
  number =       {3},
  pages =        {531-543},
  }

@article{TobinRose06,
  author =       {Tobin, Jennifer and Susan Rose-Ackerman},
  title =        {Bilateral Investment Treaties: Do They Stimulate Foreign Direct Investment?},
  journal =      {mimeo},
  year =         {2006},
  volume =       {Yale University},
  number =       {},
  pages =        {},
  }

@article{TobinRose11,
  author =       {Tobin, Jennifer and Susan Rose-Ackerman},
  title =        {When BITs Have Some Bite: The Political-Economic Environment for Bilateral Investment Treaties},
  journal =      {The Review of International Organizations},
  year =         {2011},
  volume =       {6},
  number =       {1},
  pages =        {1-32},
  }

@article{EichengreenIrwin95,
  author =       {Eichengreen, Barry, and Douglas A. Irwin},
  title =        {Trade Blocs, Currency Blocs and the Reorientation of World Trade in the 1930s},
  journal =      {Journal of International Economics},
  year =         {1995},
  volume =       {38},
  number =       {1-2},
  pages =        {1-24},
  }
	
	
@article{Levyetal07,
  author =       {Levy Yeyati, Eduardo and Ugo Panizza and Ernesto Stein},
  title =        {The Cyclical Nature of North–South FDI Flows},
  journal =      {Journal of International Money and Finance},
  year =         {2007},
  volume =       {26},
  number =       {1},
  pages =        {104-130},
  }


@article{Kerner09,
  author =       {Kerner, Andrew},
  title =        {Why Should I Believe You? The Costs and Consequences of Bilateral Investment Treaties},
  journal =      {International Studies Quarterly},
  year =         {2009},
  volume =       {53},
  number =       {1},
  pages =        {73-102},
  }
	

			
			
@article{Tollison82,
  author =       {Tollison, Robert D.},
  title =        {Rent-seeking, a Survey},
  journal =      {Kyklos},
  year =         {1982},
  volume =       {35},
  number =       {},
  pages =        {575-602},
  }
  
@article{Tullock67,
  author =       {Tullock, Gordon},
  title =        {The Welfare Costs of Tariffs, Monopolies, and Theft},
  journal =      {Western Economic Journal},
  year =         {1967},
  volume =       {5},
  number =       {3},
  pages =        {224-232},
  }

 @book{UNCTAD2010,
  title={Bilateral Investment Treaties},
  author={{UNCTAD}},
  year={2010},
  publisher={UN}, 
address = {New York—Geneva: United Nations}
}


 @article{Wallace13,
  title={Cities, Redistribution, and Authoritarian Regime Survival},
  author={Jeremy Wallace},
  journal={Journal of Politics},
volume= {X},
number = {X},
  pages={forthcoming},
  year={2013},
}

 
@article{Weeks08,
	Author = {Weeks, Jessica L.},
	Journal = {International Organization},
	Volume = {62},
	Number = {1},
	Pages = {35-64},
	Title = {Autocratic Audience Costs: Regime Type and Signaling Resolve},
	Year = {2008}}

@article{Weeks12,
  title={Strongmen and Straw Men: Authoritarian Regimes and the Initiation of International Conflict},
  author={Weeks, Jessica L},
  journal={American Political Science Review},
  volume={106},
  number={02},
  pages={326--347},
  year={2012}}

 @book{WDI10,
  title={World Development Indicators. CD-ROM.},
  author={{World Bank}},
  year={2010},
  publisher={World Bank}, 
address = {Washington, D.C.}
}
	
	@book{Wintrobe98,
  author =       {Wintrobe, Ronald},
  title =        {The political economy of dictatorship},
  year={1998},
  publisher={Cambridge University Press}, 
address = {Cambridge, UK}
}


  @Article{Wooldridge01,
  AUTHOR =       {Wooldridge, Jeffrey M.},
  TITLE =        {Applications of Generalized Method of Moments Estimation},
  JOURNAL =       {Journal of Economic Perspective},
  YEAR =         {2001},
  number =       {4},
  volume=  {15},
  pages =        {87-100},
  }
	
	@book{Wooldridge02,
  author =       {Wooldridge, Jeffrey M.},
  title =        {Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data},
  year={2002},
  publisher={MIT Press}, 
address = {Cambridge, MA}
}
	
@Article{Wright09,
AUTHOR = {Wright, Joseph},
TITLE = {How Foreign Aid Can Foster Democratization in Authoritarian Regimes},
JOURNAL = {American Journal of Political Science},
YEAR = {2009},
number = {3},
pages = {552-571},
volume = {53}
}

@unpublished{WrightFrantzGeddes12,
	Author = {Joseph Wright and Erica Frantz and Barbara Geddes},
	Note = {Manuscript},
	Title = {Oil and Autocratic Regime Survival},
	Year = {2012}}



@Book{AcemogluRobinson06,
  Title                    = {Economic Origins of Dictatorship and Democracy},
  Author                   = {Acemoglu, Daron and James Robinson},
  Publisher                = {Cambridge University Press},
  Year                     = {2006},

  Address                  = {New York}
}

@article{DriscollKraay98,
	Author = {Driscoll, John C. and Aart C. Kraay},
	Title = {Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation with Spatially Dependent Panel Data},
	Journal = {Review of Economics and Statistics},
	Volume = {80},
	Number = {4},
	Pages = {549-560},
	Year = {1998}}


@article{BeckKatz95,
  author =       {Beck, Nathaniel and Jonathan N. Katz},
  title =        {What To Do (and Not to Do) with Time-Series Cross-Section Data},
  journal =      {American Political Science Review},
  year =         {1995},
  volume =       {89},
  number =       {3},
  pages =        {634-647}
  }



@article{Hoechle07,
	Author = {Hoechle, Daniel},
	Title = {Robust Standard Errors for Panel Regressions with Cross-Sectional Dependence},
	Journal = {The Stata Journal},
	Volume = {3},
	Number = {7},
	Pages = {281-312},
	Year = {2007}}

@Article{AdesTella99,
  Title                    = {Rents, Competition, and Corruption},
  Author                   = {Ades, Alberto and Rafael Di Tella},
  Journal                  = {American Economic Review},
  Year                     = {1999},
  Number                   = {4},
  Pages                    = {982-993},
  Volume                   = {89}
}

@Article{Ahmed12,
  Title                    = {The Perils of Unearned Foreign Income: Aid, Remittances, and Government Survival},
  Author                   = {Ahmed, Faisal Z.},
  Journal                  = {American Political Science Review},
  Year                     = {2012},
  Number                   = {1},
  Pages                    = {146-165},
  Volume                   = {106}
}

@Article{AlleePeinhardt11,
  Title                    = {Contingent Credibility: The Impact of Investment Treaty Violations on Foreign Direct Investment},
  Author                   = {Allee, Todd and Clint Peinhardt},
  Journal                  = {International Organization},
  Year                     = {2011},
  Number                   = {3},
  Pages                    = {401-432},
  Volume                   = {65}
}

@Article{Wei2000,
  Title                    = {How taxing is corruption on international investors?},
  Author                   = {Wei, Shang-Jin},
  Journal                  = {Review of Economics and Statistics},
  Year                     = {2000},
  Number                   = {1},
  Pages                    = {1-11},
  Volume                   = {82}
}


@article{BennettStam2000,
	Author = {Bennett, D. Scott and Allan C. Stam},
	Journal = {International Interactions},
	Pages = {179-204},
	Title = {\emph{EUGene}: A Conceptual Manual},
	Volume = {26},
	Year = {2000}}



@Article{MarkusenMaskus02,
  Title                    = {Discriminating Among Alternative Theories of the Multinational Enterprise},
  Author                   = {Markusen, James R. and Keith E. Maskus},
  Journal                  = {Review of International Economics},
  Year                     = {2002},
  Number                   = {4},
  Pages                    = {694-707},
  Volume                   = {10}
}



@Article{Loungani02,
  Title                    = {The Global Disconnect: The Role of Transactional Distance and Scale Economies in Gravity Equations},
  Author                   = {Loungani, Prakash and Ashoka Mody and Assaf Razin},
  Journal                  = {Scottish Journal of Political Economy},
  Year                     = {2002},
  Number                   = {5},
  Pages                    = {526-543},
  Volume                   = {49}
}


@Article{JensenRosas07,
  Title                    = {Foreign Direct Investment and Income Inequality in Mexico, 1990-2000},
  Author                   = {Jensen, Nathan M. and Guillermo Rosas},
  Journal                  = {International Organization},
  Year                     = {2007},
  Number                   = {3},
  Pages                    = {467-487},
  Volume                   = {61}
}


@Article{Carr2001,
  Title                    = {Estimating the Knowledge-Capital Model of the Multinational Enterprise},
  Author                   = {Carr, David L. and James R. Markusen and Keith E. Maskus},
  Journal                  = {The American Economic Review},
  Year                     = {2001},
  Number                   = {3},
  Pages                    = {693-708},
  Volume                   = {91}
}


@Article{AlvarezGlasgow99,
  Title                    = {Two-Stage Estimation of Nonrecursive Choice Models},
  Author                   = {Alvarez, R. Michael and Garrett Glasgow},
  Journal                  = {Political Analysis},
  Year                     = {1999},
  Number                   = {2},
  Pages                    = {147-165},
  Volume                   = {8}
}

@Book{Banks13,
  Title                    = {Cross-National Time-Series Data Archive},
  Author                   = {Banks, Arthur S. and Kenneth A. Wilson},
  Publisher                = {Databanks International},
  Year                     = {2013},

  Address                  = {Jerusalem, Israel}
}

@Article{Bardhan97,
  Title                    = {Corruption and Development: A Review of Issues},
  Author                   = {Bardhan, Pranab},
  Journal                  = {Journal of Economic Literature},
  Year                     = {1997},
  Number                   = {3},
  Pages                    = {1320-1346},
  Volume                   = {35}
}

@Book{Baum06,
  Title                    = {An Introduction to Modern Econometrics Using Stata},
  Author                   = {Baum, Christopher F.},
  Publisher                = {Stata Press},
  Year                     = {2006},

  Address                  = {College Station, TX}
}

@Article{BaumSchafferStillman03,
  Title                    = {Instrumental Variables and GMM: Estimation and Testing},
  Author                   = {Baum, Christopher F. and Mark E. Schaffer and Steven Stillman},
  Journal                  = {The Stata Journal},
  Year                     = {2003},
  Number                   = {1},
  Pages                    = {1-31},
  Volume                   = {3}
}

@Article{BeckKatz95,
  Title                    = {What To Do (and Not to Do) with Time-Series Cross-Section Data},
  Author                   = {Beck, Nathaniel and Jonathan N. Katz},
  Journal                  = {American Political Science Review},
  Year                     = {1995},
  Number                   = {3},
  Pages                    = {634-647},
  Volume                   = {89}
}

@Article{BeckMaher86,
  Title                    = {A Comparison of Bribery and Bidding in Thin Markets},
  Author                   = {Beck, Paul J. and Michael W. Maher},
  Journal                  = {Economic Letters},
  Year                     = {1986},
  Number                   = {1},
  Pages                    = {1-5},
  Volume                   = {20}
}


@Article{bermeo2013aid,
  Title                    = {Aid is Not Oil: Donor Preferences, Heterogeneous Aid, and the Aid-Democratization Relationship},
  Author                   = {Bermeo, Sarah Blodgett},
  Journal                  = {International Organization},
  Year                     = {Forthcoming}
}

@Article{BoixStokes03,
  Title                    = {Endogenous Democratization},
  Author                   = {Boix, Carles and Susan Stokes},
  Journal                  = {World Politics},
  Year                     = {2003},
  Number                   = {4},
  Pages                    = {517-549},
  Volume                   = {55}
}

@Article{BoixSvolik13,
  Title                    = {The Foundations of Limited Authoritarian Government: Institutions, Commitment, and Power-Sharing in Dictatorships},
  Author                   = {Boix, Carles and Milan W. Svolik},
  Journal                  = {Journal of Politics},
  Year                     = {2013},
  Number                   = {2},
  Pages                    = {300-316},
  Volume                   = {75}
}

@Book{Buchanan80,
  Title                    = {Toward a Theory of the Rent-Seeking Society},
  Author                   = {Buchanan, Thomas and Robert D. Tollison and Gordon Tullock},
  Publisher                = {Texas AM University Press},
  Year                     = {1980},

  Address                  = {College Station, Texas}
}

@Article{BDM10,
  Title                    = {Leader Survival, Revolutions, and the Nature of Government Finance},
  Author                   = {Bueno de Mesquita, Bruce and Alastair Smith},
  Journal                  = {American Journal of Political Science},
  Year                     = {2010},
  Number                   = {4},
  Pages                    = {936-950},
  Volume                   = {54}
}

@Book{BDM03,
  Title                    = {Logic of Political Survival},
  Author                   = {Bueno de Mesquita, Bruce and Alastair Smith and Randolph Siverson and James Morrow},
  Publisher                = {MIT Press},
  Year                     = {2003},

  Address                  = {Cambridge}
}

@Article{ButheMilner08,
  Title                    = {The Politics of Foreign Direct Investment into Developing Countries: Increasing FDI through International Trade Agreements?},
  Author                   = {Buthe, Tim and Helen Milner},
  Journal                  = {American Journal of Political Science},
  Year                     = {2008},
  Number                   = {4},
  Pages                    = {741-762},
  Volume                   = {52}
}

@Book{CameronTrivedi05,
  Title                    = {Microeconometrics: Methods and Applications},
  Author                   = {Cameron, A. Colin and Pravin K. Trivedi},
  Publisher                = {Cambridge University Press},
  Year                     = {2005},

  Address                  = {New York, NY}
}

@Article{CarterSignorino10,
  Title                    = {Back to the Future: Modeling Time Dependence in Binary Data},
  Author                   = {Carter, David and Curt Signorino},
  Journal                  = {Political Analysis},
  Year                     = {2010},
  Number                   = {3},
  Pages                    = {271-292},
  Volume                   = {18}
}

@Article{DDR10,
  Title                    = {Democracy and Dictatorship Revisited},
  Author                   = {Jos\'{e} Antonio Cheibub and Jennifer Gandhi and James Raymond Vreeland},
  Journal                  = {Public Choice},
  Year                     = {2010},
  Number                   = {1-2},
  Pages                    = {67-101},
  Volume                   = {143}
}

@Article{Goemans03,
  Title                    = {Peace through Insecurity Tenure and International Conflict},
  Author                   = {Chiozza, Giacomo and Goemans, Hein E},
  Journal                  = {Journal of Conflict Resolution},
  Year                     = {2003},
  Number                   = {4},
  Pages                    = {443--467},
  Volume                   = {47}
}

@Article{DeBoefKeele08,
  Title                    = {Taking Time Seriously},
  Author                   = {De Boef, Suzanna and Luke Keele},
  Journal                  = {American Journal of Political Science},
  Year                     = {2008},
  Number                   = {1},
  Pages                    = {184-200},
  Volume                   = {52}
}

@Article{DebsGoemans10,
  Title                    = {Regime type, the fate of leaders, and war},
  Author                   = {Debs, Alexandre and Goemans, Hein E},
  Journal                  = {American Political Science Review},
  Year                     = {2010},
  Number                   = {03},
  Pages                    = {430--445},
  Volume                   = {104}
}

@Article{dietrich2013bypass,
  Title                    = {Bypass or Engage? Explaining Donor Delivery Tactics in Foreign Aid Allocation*},
  Author                   = {Dietrich, Simone},
  Journal                  = {International Studies Quarterly},
  Year                     = {2013},
  Number                   = {4},
  Pages                    = {698--712},
  Volume                   = {57},

  Publisher                = {Wiley Online Library}
}

@Book{DolzerSchreuer08,
  Title                    = {Principles of International Investment Law},
  Author                   = {Dolzer, Rudolf and Christoph Schreuer},
  Publisher                = {Oxford University Press},
  Year                     = {2008},

  Address                  = {New York, NY}
}

@Article{Dunning04,
  Title                    = {Conditioning the Effects of Aid: Cold War Politics, Donor Credibility, and Democracy in Africa},
  Author                   = {Dunning, Thad},
  Journal                  = {International Organization},
  Year                     = {2004},
  Number                   = {2},
  Pages                    = {409-423},
  Volume                   = {58}
}

@Article{Eckard05,
  Title                    = {Are Autocratic Rulers Also Inside Traders? Cross-Country Evidence.},
  Author                   = {Eckard, E. Woodrow},
  Journal                  = {Economic Inquiry},
  Year                     = {2005},
  Number                   = {1},
  Pages                    = {13-23},
  Volume                   = {43}
}

@Article{EggerPfaffermayr04,
  Title                    = {The Impact of Bilateral Investment Treaties on Foreign Direct Investment},
  Author                   = {Egger, Peter and Michael Pfaffermayr},
  Journal                  = {Journal of Comparative Economics},
  Year                     = {2004},
  Number                   = {4},
  Pages                    = {788-804},
  Volume                   = {32}
}

@Article{ElkinsGuzmanSimmons06,
  Title                    = {Competing for Capital: The Diffusion of Bilateral Investment Treaties, 1960-2000},
  Author                   = {Elkins, Zachary and Andrew T. Guzman and Beth A. Simmons},
  Journal                  = {International Organization},
  Year                     = {2006},
  Number                   = {4},
  Pages                    = {811-846},
  Volume                   = {60}
}

@Book{EsanovBuiterRaiser04,
  Title                    = {Nature's Blessing or Nature's Curse: The Political Economy of Transition in Resource-Based Economies},
  Author                   = {Esanov, Akram and Martin Raiser and Willem H. Buiter},
  Publisher                = {Universit$\ddot{a}$t Boon. Zentrum f$\ddot{u}$r Entwicklungsforschung},
  Year                     = {2004},

  Address                  = {Bonn, Germany}
}

@Article{escriba2013remittances,
  Title                    = {Remittances and Democratization},
  Author                   = {Abel Escrib{\`a-}Folch and Joseph Wright},
  Journal                  = {International Studies Quarterly},
  Year                     = {Forthcoming}
}

@Article{EscribaWright10,
  Title                    = {Dealing with Tyranny: International Sanctions and the Survival of Authoritarian Rulers},
  Author                   = {Abel Escrib{\`a-}Folch and Joseph Wright},
  Journal                  = {International Studies Quarterly},
  Year                     = {2010},
  Number                   = {2},
  Pages                    = {335-359},
  Volume                   = {54}
}

@Book{Evans79,
  Title                    = {Dependent Development: The Alliance of Multinational, State, and Local Capital in Brazil},
  Author                   = {Evans, Peter B.},
  Publisher                = {Princeton University Press},
  Year                     = {1979},

  Address                  = {Princeton, NJ}
}

@Article{FearonLaitin03,
  Title                    = {Ethnicity, Insurgency, and Civil War},
  Author                   = {Fearon, James D. and Laitin, David D.},
  Journal                  = {American Political Science Review},
  Year                     = {2003},
  Number                   = {1},
  Pages                    = {75-90},
  Volume                   = {97}
}

@Book{Gandhi08,
  Title                    = {Political Institutions under Dictatorship},
  Author                   = {Gandhi, Jennifer},
  Publisher                = {Cambridge University Press},
  Year                     = {2008},

  Address                  = {New York}
}

@Article{Gandhi06,
  Title                    = {Cooperation, Cooptation, and Rebellion under Dictatorships},
  Author                   = {Gandhi, Jennifer, and Adam Przeworski},
  Journal                  = {Economics and Politics},
  Year                     = {2006},
  Number                   = {1},
  Pages                    = {1-26},
  Volume                   = {18}
}

@Book{Geddes03,
  Title                    = {Paradigms and Sand Castles},
  Author                   = {Geddes, Barbara},
  Publisher                = {Univ. of Michigan Press},
  Year                     = {2003},

  Address                  = {Ann Arbor}
}

@Article{Geddes99,
  Title                    = {What Do We Know About Democratization After Twenty Years?},
  Author                   = {Geddes, Barbara},
  Journal                  = {Annual Review of Political Science},
  Year                     = {1999},
  Pages                    = {115-144},
  Volume                   = {2}
}

@incollection{Geddes06,
	Address = {Seattle, WA},
	Author = {Geddes, Barbara},
	Booktitle = {World Order after Leninism},
	Editor = {Tismaneanu, Vladimir and Marc M. Howard and Rudra Sil},
	Pages = {149-70},
	Publisher = {University of Washington Press},
	Title = {Stages of Development in Authoritarian Regimes},
	Year = {2006}}


@Article{GWF14,
  Title                    = {New Data Set: Autocratic Breakdown and Regime Transitions},
  Author                   = {Geddes, Barbara and Joseph Wright and Erica Frantz},
  Journal                  = {Perspectives on Politics},
  Year                     = {2014},
  Number                   = {2},
  Pages                    = {313-331},
  Volume                   = {12}
}

@Article{GehlbachKeefer12,
  Title                    = {Private investment and the institutionalization of collective action in autocracies: ruling parties and legislatures},
  Author                   = {Gehlbach, Scott and Keefer, Philip},
  Journal                  = {Journal of Politics},
  Year                     = {2012},
  Number                   = {02},
  Pages                    = {621--635},
  Volume                   = {74}
}

@Article{GehlbachKeefer11,
  Title                    = {Investment without democracy: ruling-party institutionalization and credible commitment in autocracies},
  Author                   = {Gehlbach, Scott and Keefer, Philip},
  Journal                  = {Journal of Comparative Economics},
  Year                     = {2011},
  Number                   = {2},
  Pages                    = {123--139},
  Volume                   = {39},

  Publisher                = {Elsevier}
}

@Article{Gleditsch04,
  Title                    = {Autocratic transitions and democratization},
  Author                   = {Gleditsch, Kristian Skrede and Choung, Jinhee L},
  Journal                  = {Manuscript. University of California, San Diego, Calif},
  Year                     = {2004}
}

@Article{GleditschWard97,
  Title                    = {Double Take A Reexamination of Democracy and Autocracy in Modern Polities},
  Author                   = {Gleditsch, Kristian S and Ward, Michael D},
  Journal                  = {Journal of Conflict Resolution},
  Year                     = {1997},
  Number                   = {3},
  Pages                    = {361--383},
  Volume                   = {41}
}

@incollection{SingerBremerStucky1972,
	Address = {Beverly Hills, CA},
	Author = {Singer, J. David and Stuart Bremer and John Stucky},
	Booktitle = {Peace, War, and Numbers},
	Editor = {Bruce M. Russett},
	Pages = {19-48},
	Publisher = {Sage Publications},
	Title = {Capability Distribution, Uncertainty, and Major Power War, 1820-1965},
	Year = {1972}}


@Article{BelkinSchofer03,
  Title                    = {Toward a Structural Understanding of Coup Risk},
  Author                   = {Belkin, Aaron and Evan Schofer},
  Journal                  = {Journal of Conflict Resolution},
  Year                     = {2003},
  Number                   = {5},
  Pages                    = {694--620},
  Volume                   = {47}
}


@Article{Powell12,
  Title                    = {Determinants of the Attempting and Outcome of Coups d'\'etat},
  Author                   = {Powell, Jonathan},
  Journal                  = {Journal of Conflict Resolution},
  Year                     = {2012},
  Number                   = {6},
  Pages                    = {1017--1040},
  Volume                   = {56}
}

@Article{Gleditsch02,
  Title                    = {Armed Conflict 1946–2001: A New Dataset},
  Author                   = {Gleditsch, Nils Peter and Peter Wallensteen and Mikael Eriksson and Margareta Sollenberge and Havard Strand},
  Journal                  = {Journal of Peace Research},
  Year                     = {2002},
  Number                   = {5},
  Pages                    = {615--637},
  Volume                   = {39}
}

@Article{Archigos,
  Title                    = {Introducing Archigos: A dataset of political leaders},
  Author                   = {Goemans, Henk E and Gleditsch, Kristian Skrede and Chiozza, Giacomo},
  Journal                  = {Journal of Peace research},
  Year                     = {2009},
  Number                   = {2},
  Pages                    = {269--283},
  Volume                   = {46}
}

@Article{Goldsmith01,
  Title                    = {Foreign Aid and Statehood in Africa},
  Author                   = {Goldsmith, Aurthur},
  Journal                  = {International Organization},
  Year                     = {2001},
  Number                   = {1},
  Pages                    = {123-148},
  Volume                   = {55}
}

@Book{Green12,
  Title                    = {Econometric Analysis. 7th ed.},
  Author                   = {Green, William},
  Publisher                = {Prentice–Hall},
  Year                     = {2012},

  Address                  = {Upper Saddle River,NJ}
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@Article{Gurr74,
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  Author                   = {Gurr, Ted Robert},
  Journal                  = {American Political Science Review},
  Year                     = {1974},
  Number                   = {4},
  Pages                    = {1482--1504},
  Volume                   = {68}
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@InCollection{Haber06,
  Title                    = {Authoritarian Government},
  Author                   = {Haber, Stephen},
  Booktitle                = {Handbook of Political Economy},
  Publisher                = {Oxford University Press},
  Year                     = {2006},

  Address                  = {New York},
  Editor                   = {Barry R. Weingast and Donald A. Wittman},
  Pages                    = {693-707},

  Organization             = {Oxford University Press}
}

@Article{HadeniusTeorell05,
  Title                    = {Assessing Alternative Indices of Democracy},
  Author                   = {Hadenius, Axel and Jan Teorell},
  Journal                  = {Committee on Concepts and Methods Working Papers 6, IPSA},
  Year                     = {2005}
}

@Article{Hansen82,
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  Pages                    = {1269-1286},
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@Article{Caietal2011,
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  Year                     = {2011},
  Number                   = {15},
  Pages                    = {1809-24},
  Volume                   = {30}
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@Unpublished{Harm01,
  Title                    = {A Plea for more Politics in the International Business Research Agenda},
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  Note                     = {Manuscript},
  Year                     = {2001}
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@Unpublished{PintoZhu15,
  Title                    = {A Plea for more Politics in the International Business Research Agenda},
  Author                   = {Pinto, Pablo M. and Boliang Zhu},
  Note                     = {Manuscript},
  Year                     = {2015}
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@Article{Hashim11,
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  Author                   = {Hashim, Ahmed},
  Journal                  = {Middle East Policy},
  Year                     = {2011},
  Number                   = {4},
  Pages                    = {106-128},
  Volume                   = {18}
}

@Article{Hausman78,
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  Author                   = {Hausman, Jerry A.},
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@Article{Heinz02,
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  Journal                  = {Industrial and Corporate Change},
  Year                     = {2002},
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  Pages                    = {355-389},
  Volume                   = {11}
}

@Book{HestonSummersAten11,
  Title                    = {Penn World Table Version 7.0},
  Author                   = {Heston, Alan Heston and Robert Summers and Bettina Aten},
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  Year                     = {2011}
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@Article{JensenWantchekon04,
  Title                    = {Resource Wealth and Political Regimes in Africa},
  Author                   = {Jensen, Nathan and Leonard Wantchekon},
  Journal                  = {Comparative Political Studies},
  Year                     = {2004},
  Number                   = {7},
  Pages                    = {816-841},
  Volume                   = {37}
}

@Article{Jensen03,
  Title                    = {Democratic Governance and Multinational Corporations: Political Regimes and Inflows of Foreign Direct Investment},
  Author                   = {Jensen, Nathan M.},
  Journal                  = {International Oganization},
  Year                     = {2003},
  Number                   = {3},
  Pages                    = {587-616},
  Volume                   = {57}
}

@Article{KonoMontinola09,
  Title                    = {Does Foreign Aid Support Autocrats, Democrats, or Both?},
  Author                   = {Daniel Yuichi Kono and Gabriella R. Montinola},
  Journal                  = {Journal of Politics},
  Year                     = {2009},
  Number                   = {2},
  Pages                    = {704-718},
  Volume                   = {71}
}

@Article{Krueger74,
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  Journal                  = {American Economic Review},
  Year                     = {1974},
  Number                   = {3},
  Pages                    = {291-303},
  Volume                   = {64}
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@Article{Lee92,
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  Year                     = {1992},
  Number                   = {3},
  Pages                    = {319-328},
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@Article{Leff64,
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  Author                   = {Leff, Nathaniel H.},
  Journal                  = {American Behavioral Scientist},
  Year                     = {1964},
  Number                   = {3},
  Pages                    = {8-14},
  Volume                   = {8}
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@Article{Leys65,
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  Author                   = {Leys, Colin},
  Journal                  = {The Journal of Modern African Studies},
  Year                     = {1965},
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@Article{Licht10,
  Title                    = {Coming into Money: The Impact of Foreign Aid on Leader Survival},
  Author                   = {Licht, Amanda},
  Journal                  = {Journal of Peace Research},
  Year                     = {2010},
  Number                   = {1},
  Pages                    = {58-87 },
  Volume                   = {54}
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@Article{Lien86,
  Title                    = {A Note on Competitive Bribery Games},
  Author                   = {Lien, Da-Hsiang Donald},
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  Volume                   = {22}
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@Article{Magaloni08,
  Title                    = {Credible Power-Sharing and the Longevity of Authoritarian Rule},
  Author                   = {Magaloni, Beatriz},
  Journal                  = {Comparative Political Studies},
  Year                     = {2008},
  Number                   = {4-5},
  Pages                    = {715-741},
  Volume                   = {41}
}

@Book{Magaloni06,
  Title                    = {Voting for Autocracy: Hegemonic Party Survival and its Demise in Mexico},
  Author                   = {Magaloni, Beatriz},
  Publisher                = {Cambridge University Press},
  Year                     = {2006},

  Address                  = {Cambridge}
}

@Article{MaleskyGueorguievJensen,
  Title                    = {Monopoly Money: Foreign Investment and Bribery in Vietnam, a Survey Experiment},
  Author                   = {Malesky, Edmund J. and Dimitar Gueorguiev and Nathan Jensen},
  Journal                  = {American Journal of Political Science},
  Year                     = {forthcoming},
  Volume                   = {forthcoming}
}

@Article{MarshallStacher12,
  Title                    = {Egypt's Generals and Transnational Capital},
  Author                   = {Marshall, Shana and Joshua Stacher},
  Journal                  = {Middle East Report(MER 262)},
  Year                     = {2012},
  Number                   = {Spring},
  Volume                   = {42}
}

@Article{Miller12,
  Title                    = {Economic Development, Violent Leader Removal, and Democratization},
  Author                   = {Miller, Michael K},
  Journal                  = {American Journal of Political Science},
  Year                     = {2012},
  Number                   = {4},
  Pages                    = {1002--1020},
  Volume                   = {56}
}

@Article{Milner14,
  Title                    = {The Global Economy, FDI, and the Regime for Investment},
  Author                   = {Milner, Helen V.},
  Journal                  = {World Politics},
  Year                     = {2014},
  Number                   = {1},
  Pages                    = {1-11},
  Volume                   = {66}
}

@Article{Moon15,
  Title                    = {Foreign Direct Investment, Commitment institutions, and Time Horizon: How some autocrats do better than others?},
  Author                   = {Moon, Chungshik},
  Journal                  = {International Studies Quarterly},
  Year                     = {2015},
  Number                   = {2},
  Pages                    = {344-356},
  Volume                   = {59}
}

@Article{aiddata,
  Title                    = {More Dollars than Sense: Refining Our Knowledge of Development Finance Using AidData},
  Author                   = {Tierney, Michael J., Daniel L. Nielson, Darren G. Hawkins, J. Timmons Roberts, Michael G. Findley, Ryan M. Powers, Bradley Parks, Sven E. Wilson, and Robert L. Hicks},
  Journal                  = {World Development},
  Year                     = {2011},
  Number                   = {11},
  Pages                    = {1891-1906},
  Volume                   = {39}
}



@Article{Morrison09,
  Title                    = {Oil, Non-Tax Revenue, and the Redistributional Foundations of Regime Stability},
  Author                   = {Kevin Morrison},
  Journal                  = {International Organization},
  Year                     = {2009},
  Number                   = {1},
  Pages                    = {107-138},
  Volume                   = {63}
}


@Article{Murphy93,
  Title                    = {Why Is Rent-Seeking So Costly to Growth?},
  Author                   = {Murphy, Kevin M. and Andrei Shleifer and Robert W. Vishny},
  Journal                  = {American Economic Review},
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  Number                   = {2},
  Pages                    = {409-414},
  Volume                   = {83}
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@Article{Morrison07,
  Title                    = {Natural resources, aid, and democratization: A best-case scenario},
  Author                   = {Morrison, Kevin},
  Journal                  = {Public Choice},
  Year                     = {2007},
  Number                   = {3-4},
  Pages                    = {365-386},
  Volume                   = {131}
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@Article{MurphyTopel85,
  Title                    = {Estimation and Inference in Two-step Econometric Models},
  Author                   = {Murphy, K. M. and R. H. Topel},
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  Number                   = {3},
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@Article{NeumayerSpess05,
  Title                    = {Do Bilateral Investment Treaties Increase Foreign Direct Investment to Developing Countries?},
  Author                   = {Neumayer, Eric and Laura Spess},
  Journal                  = {World Development},
  Year                     = {2005},
  Number                   = {10},
  Pages                    = {1567-1585},
  Volume                   = {33}
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@Book{NewcombeParadell09,
  Title                    = {Law and Practice of Investment Treaties},
  Author                   = {Newcombe, Andrew and Lluis Paradell},
  Publisher                = {Kluwer Law International},
  Year                     = {2009},

  Address                  = {BV, Netherlands}
}

@Article{Newey87,
  Title                    = {Efficient Estimation of Limited Dependent Variable Models with Endogenous Explanatory Variables},
  Author                   = {Newey, Whitney K.},
  Journal                  = {Journal of Econometrics},
  Year                     = {1987},
  Number                   = {3},
  Pages                    = {231-250},
  Volume                   = {36}
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@Misc{OECD13,
  Title                    = {FDI in Figures},

  Author                   = {{OECD}},
  HowPublished             = {\url{http://www.oecd.org/daf/inv/FDI%20in%20figures.pdf}},
  Year                     = {2013}
}

@Article{Olson93,
  Title                    = {Dictatorship, Democracy, and Development},
  Author                   = {Olson, Mancur},
  Journal                  = {American Political Science Review},
  Year                     = {1993},
  Number                   = {3},
  Pages                    = {567-576},
  Volume                   = {87}
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@Book{Olson82,
  Title                    = {The Rise and Decline of Nations},
  Author                   = {Olson, Mancur},
  Publisher                = {Yale University Press},
  Year                     = {1982},

  Address                  = {New Haven, CT}
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@Misc{Polity10,
  Title                    = {Political Regime Characteristics and Transitions, 1800-2010},

  Author                   = {{Polity IV}},
  HowPublished             = {\url{http://www.systemicpeace.org/polity/polity4.htm}},
  Year                     = {2010}
}

@Article{PowellThyne11,
  Title                    = {Global Instances of Coups from 1950 to 2010: A New Dataset},
  Author                   = {Powell, Jonathan and Clayton Thyne},
  Journal                  = {Journal of Peace Research},
  Year                     = {2011},
  Number                   = {2},
  Pages                    = {249-259},
  Volume                   = {48}
}

@Article{Thyne10,
  Title                    = {Supporter of Stability or Agent of Agitation? The Effect of United States Foreign Policy on Coups in Latin America, 1960-1999},
  Author                   = {Thyne, Clayton},
  Journal                  = {Journal of Peace Research},
  Year                     = {2010},
  Number                   = {4},
  Pages                    = {1-13},
  Volume                   = {47}
}

@Book{ACLP00,
  Title                    = {Democracy and Development: Political Institutions and Well-Being in the World, 1950-1990},
  Author                   = {Przeworski, Adam, and Michael E. Alvarez, and Jose A. Cheibub, and Fernando Limongi},
  Publisher                = {Cambridge University Press},
  Year                     = {2000},

  Address                  = {New York},

  Date-added               = {2010-09-14 11:12:31 -0400},
  Date-modified            = {2010-09-14 11:14:26 -0400}
}

@Article{Putnam88,
  Title                    = {Diplomacy and Domestic Politics: The Logic of Two-Level Games},
  Author                   = {Putnam, Robert D.},
  Journal                  = {International Organization},
  Year                     = {1988},
  Number                   = {3},
  Pages                    = {51-69},
  Volume                   = {42}
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@Article{RiversVuong88,
  Title                    = {Limited Information Estimators and Exogeneity Tests for Simultaneous Probit Models},
  Author                   = {Rivers, Douglas and Quang H. Vuong},
  Journal                  = {Journal of Econometrics},
  Year                     = {1988},
  Number                   = {3},
  Pages                    = {347-366},
  Volume                   = {39}
}

@Book{Ross12,
  Title                    = {The Oil Curse How Petroleum Wealth Shapes the Development of Nations},
  Author                   = {Ross, Michael},
  Publisher                = {Princeton University Press},
  Year                     = {2012},

  Address                  = {Princeton, NJ}
}

@Article{Ross01,
  Title                    = {Does Oil Hinder Democracy?},
  Author                   = {Ross, Michael},
  Journal                  = {World Politics},
  Year                     = {2001},
  Number                   = {3},
  Pages                    = {325-361},
  Volume                   = {53}
}

@Article{SalacuseSullivan05,
  Title                    = {Do BITs Really Work? An Evaluation of Bilateral Investment Treaties and Their Grand Bargain},
  Author                   = {Salacuse, Jeswald and Nicholas Sullivan},
  Journal                  = {Harvard International Law Journal},
  Year                     = {2005},
  Pages                    = {67-130},
  Volume                   = {46}
}

@Article{Smith08,
  Title                    = {The Perils of Unearned Income},
  Author                   = {Smith, Alastair},
  Journal                  = {Journal of Politics},
  Year                     = {2008},
  Number                   = {3},
  Pages                    = {780-793},
  Volume                   = {70}
}

@Article{StaigerStock97,
  Title                    = {Instrumental Variables Regression with Weak Instruments},
  Author                   = {Staiger, Douglas and James H. Stock},
  Journal                  = {Econometrica},
  Year                     = {1997},
  Number                   = {3},
  Pages                    = {557-586},
  Volume                   = {65}
}

@InCollection{StockYogo05,
  Title                    = {Testing for Weak Instruments in Linear IV Regression},
  Author                   = {James Stock and Motohiro Yogo},
  Booktitle                = {Identification and Inference for Econometric Models},
  Publisher                = {Cambridge University Press},
  Year                     = {2005},

  Address                  = {New York},
  Editor                   = {Donald W.K. Andrews},
  Pages                    = {80-108},

  Organization             = {Cambridge University Press}
}

@Article{Svolik09,
  Title                    = {Power Sharing and Leadership Dynamics in Authoritarian Regimes},
  Author                   = {Svolik, Milan W.},
  Journal                  = {American Journal of Political Science},
  Year                     = {2009},
  Number                   = {2},
  Pages                    = {477-494},
  Volume                   = {53}
}

@Article{Terza08,
  Title                    = {Two-Stage Residual Inclusion Estimation: Addressing Endogeneity in Health Econometric Modeling},
  Author                   = {Terza, Joseph V., Anirban Basu and Paul J. Rathouz},
  Journal                  = {Journal of Health Economics},
  Year                     = {2008},
  Number                   = {3},
  Pages                    = {531-543},
  Volume                   = {27}
}

@Article{TobinRose06,
  Title                    = {Bilateral Investment Treaties: Do They Stimulate Foreign Direct Investment?},
  Author                   = {Tobin, Jennifer and Susan Rose-Ackerman},
  Journal                  = {mimeo},
  Year                     = {2006},
  Volume                   = {Yale University}
}

@Article{Tollison82,
  Title                    = {Rent-seeking, a Survey},
  Author                   = {Tollison, Robert D.},
  Journal                  = {Kyklos},
  Year                     = {1982},
  Pages                    = {575-602},
  Volume                   = {35}
}

@Article{Tullock67,
  Title                    = {The Welfare Costs of Tariffs, Monopolies, and Theft},
  Author                   = {Tullock, Gordon},
  Journal                  = {Western Economic Journal},
  Year                     = {1967},
  Number                   = {3},
  Pages                    = {224-232},
  Volume                   = {5}
}

@Book{UNCTAD2010,
  Title                    = {Bilateral Investment Treaties},
  Author                   = {{UNCTAD}},
  Publisher                = {UN},
  Year                     = {2010},

  Address                  = {New York—Geneva: United Nations}
}

@Article{Wallace13,
  Title                    = {Cities, Redistribution, and Authoritarian Regime Survival},
  Author                   = {Jeremy Wallace},
  Journal                  = {Journal of Politics},
  Year                     = {2013},
  Number                   = {X},
  Pages                    = {forthcoming},
  Volume                   = {X}
}

@Article{Weeks12,
  Title                    = {Strongmen and Straw Men: Authoritarian Regimes and the Initiation of International Conflict},
  Author                   = {Weeks, Jessica L},
  Journal                  = {American Political Science Review},
  Year                     = {2012},
  Number                   = {02},
  Pages                    = {326--347},
  Volume                   = {106}
}

@Article{Weeks08,
  Title                    = {Autocratic Audience Costs: Regime Type and Signaling Resolve},
  Author                   = {Weeks, Jessica L.},
  Journal                  = {International Organization},
  Year                     = {2008},
  Number                   = {1},
  Pages                    = {35-64},
  Volume                   = {62}
}

@Book{Wintrobe98,
  Title                    = {The political economy of dictatorship},
  Author                   = {Wintrobe, Ronald},
  Publisher                = {Cambridge University Press},
  Year                     = {1998},

  Address                  = {Cambridge, UK}
}

@Book{Wooldridge02,
  Title                    = {Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data},
  Author                   = {Wooldridge, Jeffrey M.},
  Publisher                = {MIT Press},
  Year                     = {2002},

  Address                  = {Cambridge, MA}
}

@Article{Wooldridge01,
  Title                    = {Applications of Generalized Method of Moments Estimation},
  Author                   = {Wooldridge, Jeffrey M.},
  Journal                  = {Journal of Economic Perspective},
  Year                     = {2001},
  Number                   = {4},
  Pages                    = {87-100},
  Volume                   = {15}
}

@Book{Wooldridge09,
  Title                    = {Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach, Fourth Edition},
  Author                   = {Wooldridge, Jeffrey M.},
  Publisher                = {South-Western Cengage Learning},
  Year                     = {2009},

  Address                  = {Mason, OH}
}


@Book{WDI10,
  Title                    = {World Development Indicators. CD-ROM.},
  Author                   = {{World Bank}},
  Publisher                = {World Bank},
  Year                     = {2010},

  Address                  = {Washington, D.C.}
}

@Article{Wright09,
  Title                    = {How Foreign Aid Can Foster Democratization in Authoritarian Regimes},
  Author                   = {Wright, Joseph},
  Journal                  = {American Journal of Political Science},
  Year                     = {2009},
  Number                   = {3},
  Pages                    = {552-571},
  Volume                   = {53}
}


@Article{Blake13,
  Title                    = {Thinking Ahead: Government Time Horizons and the Legalization of International Investment Agreements},
  Author                   = {Blake, Daniel J.},
  Journal                  = {International Organization},
  Year                     = {2013},
  Number                   = {4},
  Pages                    = {797-827},
  Volume                   = {67}
}




@Article{Wright08,
  Title                    = {To Invest or Insure? How Authoritarian Time Horizons Impact Foreign Aid Effectiveness},
  Author                   = {Wright, Joseph},
  Journal                  = {Comparative Political Studies},
  Year                     = {2008},
  Number                   = {7},
  Pages                    = {971-1000},
  Volume                   = {41}
}

@Unpublished{WrightFrantzGeddes12,
  Title                    = {Oil and Autocratic Regime Survival},
  Author                   = {Joseph Wright and Erica Frantz and Barbara Geddes},
  Note                     = {Manuscript},
  Year                     = {2012}
}


@Unpublished{CollierHoeffler05,
  Title                    = {Coup Traps: Why Does Africa Have So Many Coups D'Etat?},
  Author                   = {Collier, Paul and Anke Hoeffler},
  Note                     = {Unpublished Manuscript, Centre for the Study of African Economies, Department of Economics, University of Oxford},
  Year                     = {2005},
}


